Leopardstown

    17:3018:0018:3019:0019:3020:0020:30
    Irish Stallion Farms EBF Stanerra Stakes (Fillies' and Mares' Group 3) (Class 1) (Turf)

    7 Jul 2022

    Good (Good to Firm in places)
    3yo+ 1m 6f 0y Winner: €39,000 (12 runners)
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    RacecardTips (1)
    Price
    No
    Silk
    Horse
    Jockey Trainer
    Form/Equip
    Wgt/Age
    OR
    5
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    (4)
    Rosscarbery(11)
    111
    J: W J Lee
    T: P Twomey
    5-1111D
    9-12
    4
    -
    2/1
    Comment: Smart filly. 1¾ lengths third (subsequently disqualified for rider weighing in light) of 9 to La Petite Coco in Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh (10f, soft, 20/1) 11 days ago. Should go well again.
    13/8
    15/8
    7/4
    7/4
    13/8
    7/4
    7/4
    15/8
    7/4
    7/4
    7/4
    13/8
    7/4
    2/1
    SP
    7/4
    Save
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    12
    (6)
    Lily Pond(29)
    105p
    J: W M Lordan
    T: A P O'Brien
    123
    8-9
    3
    -
    6/1
    Comment: Thrice-raced winner. 7/2, 2¼ lengths third of 8 to Rosscarbery in Munster Oaks at Cork (12f, good) 29 days ago. Remains with plenty of potential.
    6/1
    6/1
    11/2
    6/1
    6/1
    11/2
    11/2
    31/5
    11/2
    11/2
    11/2
    11/2
    5/1
    5/1
    SP
    11/2
    Save
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    6
    (12)
    Mighty Blue(47)
    109
    J: D McMonagle
    T: J P O'Brien
    1450-34
    9-9
    6
    -
    15/2
    D
    Comment: Useful mare. 16/5, 1¾ lengths fourth of 6 to Believe In Love in Bronte Cup at York (13.8f, good to soft) 47 days ago. One to consider.
    15/2
    15/2
    7/1
    15/2
    15/2
    7/1
    7/1
    49/10
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    SP
    7/1
    Save
    Loading...
    1
    (7)
    Forbearance(29)
    109
    J: S Foley
    T: Mrs J Harrington
    3131-67
    9-12
    5
    -
    8/1
    Comment: Useful mare. 8½ lengths seventh of 8 to Rosscarbery in Munster Oaks at Cork (12f, good, 9/1) 29 days ago. Others more persuasive.
    7/1
    8/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    29/5
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    7/1
    8/1
    SP
    7/1
    Save
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    9
    (9)
    Quenelle D'or(23)
    113
    J: C T Keane
    T: H Palmer
    53215-5
    9-9
    4
    -
    9/1
    Comment: Useful filly. Creditable fifth of 16 in handicap at Royal Ascot (14.2f, good to firm, 40/1) 23 days ago. Can make presence felt.
    8/1
    8/1
    9/1
    9/1
    8/1
    8/1
    17/2
    19/2
    17/2
    17/2
    17/2
    17/2
    8/1
    9/1
    SP
    8/1
    Save
    Loading...
    4
    (1)
    Garden Paradise(201)
    114
    J: B M Coen
    T: J Tate
    313118-
    9-9
    5
    -
    11/1
    D
    Comment: Useful mare. 10¼ lengths last of 8 to Dubai Warrior in listed race (7/1) at Lingfield (10f, AW), unsuited by drop in trip. Off 6 months. Significantly back up in trip. Shortlist material.
    11/1
    11/1
    9/1
    11/1
    11/1
    10/1
    10/1
    25/2
    10/1
    10/1
    10/1
    10/1
    9/1
    9/1
    SP
    10/1
    Save
    Loading...
    8
    (2)
    Pita Pinta(23)
    113
    J: D P McDonogh
    T: J A Stack
    11-7528
    9-9
    4
    -
    14/1
    Comment: Useful filly. Good eighth of 16 in handicap (28/1) at Royal Ascot (14.2f, good to firm) 23 days ago, needing stiffer test. Progressing recently.
    14/1
    11/1
    10/1
    14/1
    14/1
    11/1
    11/1
    23/2
    11/1
    11/1
    11/1
    11/1
    10/1
    10/1
    SP
    11/1
    Save
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    10
    (8)
    Emily Dickinson(61)
    94
    J: J A Heffernan
    T: A P O'Brien
    0-515
    8-9
    3
    -
    16/1
    BF
    Comment: Lightly-raced winner. 3½ lengths fifth of 8 to Rogue Millennium in listed Oaks Trial (5/6) at Lingfield (11.6f, good) 61 days ago. Up in trip. Has plenty to find.
    16/1
    16/1
    12/1
    14/1
    16/1
    12/1
    12/1
    16/1
    12/1
    12/1
    12/1
    12/1
    11/1
    9/1
    SP
    12/1
    Save
    Loading...
    3
    (5)
    Federica Sophia(64)
    109
    J: C D Hayes
    T: D K Weld
    2223-06
    B
    9-9
    5
    -
    18/1
    C
    Comment: Useful mare. 12/1, below form 10¾ lengths sixth of 11 to Yaxeni in listed race at Gowran (13.8f, good to soft) 64 days ago. Needs to bounce back.
    14/1
    16/1
    18/1
    18/1
    14/1
    16/1
    16/1
    11/1
    16/1
    16/1
    16/1
    16/1
    14/1
    16/1
    SP
    16/1
    Save
    Loading...
    5
    (10)
    Lady Hayes(18)
    108
    J: R P Whelan
    T: R Varian
    573-264
    9-9
    4
    -
    20/1
    Comment: Useful filly. 4/1, 9¾ lengths fourth of 7 to Glenartney in listed race at Pontefract (12f, good) 18 days ago. Claims on her best form.
    20/1
    14/1
    14/1
    20/1
    20/1
    16/1
    16/1
    15/1
    16/1
    16/1
    16/1
    16/1
    14/1
    14/1
    SP
    14/1
    Save
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    11
    (11)
    Kiss You Later(15)
    101
    J: M C Hussey
    T: A P O'Brien
    5-75150
    8-9
    3
    -
    33/1
    Comment: Fairly useful filly. 12½ lengths last of 11 to Galleria Borghese in listed race (14/1) at Naas (10f, good) 15 days ago, met some trouble. Significantly up in trip. Yard in good form. Difficult ask.
    33/1
    33/1
    28/1
    33/1
    33/1
    28/1
    28/1
    22/1
    28/1
    28/1
    28/1
    28/1
    22/1
    28/1
    SP
    28/1
    Save
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    7
    (3)
    Moon Daisy(20)
    101
    J: G M Ryan
    T: Donnacha O'Brien
    121-024
    B
    9-9
    4
    -
    33/1
    D
    Comment: Useful filly. 5 lengths fourth of 6 to Earl of Tyrone in listed race at Limerick (12.5f, good, 25/1) 20 days ago, unsuited by emphasis on speed. Yard having good spell. Uphill task.
    33/1
    25/1
    28/1
    33/1
    33/1
    28/1
    28/1
    33/10
    28/1
    28/1
    28/1
    28/1
    22/1
    28/1
    SP
    28/1
    Save
    Loading...
    Best Odds are Bold
    Odds Shortening:
    Odds Drifting:
    Pacemaps

    The five tiles correspond to the five possible Early Position Figures (EPFs) that a horse can record in a race:

    • EPF 1 Leader/Front runner
    • EPF 2 Prominent/Close up
    • EPF 3 Mid-division
    • EPF 4 Towards rear
    • EPF 5 Behind
    0.0
    0.1
    0.2
    0.3
    0.4
    0.5
    0.6
    0.7
    0.8
    0.9
    1.0

    The colour scale represents the probability of the horse recording that EPF; deeper blues are higher probability, while white indicates lower probability. The horse indicates the predicted EPF.


    Past Winner
    2021Believe In Love410-09/2
    J: R P WhelanT: R Varian6 ran

    VERDICT
    1st
    2
    Rosscarbery
    2/1
    2nd
    12
    Lily Pond
    6/1
    3rd
    6
    Mighty Blue
    15/2
    Even allowing for her weighing in light (in rather bizarre circumstances), ROSSCARBERY still ran a cracker in the Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh 11 days ago and, down in grade, she makes the most appeal despite the presence of Lily Pond, who is open to improvement having been third to the selection at Cork last time. Mighty Blue is also considered.
    SMART STATS
    2
    3 Federica Sophia
    D. K. Weld's number of winners in past 10 runnings.
    18/1
    4
    12 Lily Pond
    Aidan O'Brien's number of winners in past 10 runnings.
    6/1
    £13.53
    2 Rosscarbery
    P. Twomey's profit to a £1 level stake with favourites
    2/1
    RACE HINTS
    Pace Forecast
    Strong
    Draw Bias
    Favours High
    Specific Place Hint: A strongly contested lead could count against Quenelle D'or, who is expected to try and race close up: There is a chance of a pace burnout early, and Pita Pinta is one who may benefit from being produced later.
    Individual Price Hint: Lady Hayes traded at 25% or less of Betfair SP twice and 50% or less of Betfair SP on 3 of its last 5 starts: Federica Sophia traded at 25% or less of Betfair SP and 50% or less of Betfair SP twice on 3 of its last 5 starts.
    Flags
    Horses for courses (positive)
    Horses for courses (negative)
    Warning horse
    Trainer first time headgear
    Trainer in form
    Trainer out of form
    Trainer/Jockey Uplift
    Trainer returning from a break
    Trainer handicap debutant
    Horse in focus
    Sectional timing
    Sire course strike rate
    Sire distance strike rate
    Sire going strike rate
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