Another top-class day of racing is in store at Newmarket on Sunday, headlined by the Betfred 1000 Guineas, returning as a World Pool race this year. Alex Scott shares his best bets and his prediction for the fillies' Classic, due off at 3.35pm live on Racing TV.
Watch: 2000 GUINEAS WORLD POOL PREVIEW | Tips for Newmarket on Saturday & 1000 Guineas tips, featuring exclusive views from Ryan Moore and Tom Marquand!
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There are not many fillies in this Classic with Group One form as juveniles so, whilst there is a chance one of the more lightly-raced contenders could improve enough to land this, the market probably has it about right in making Precise, Venetian Sun and True Love the three likeliest winners of the race. There is just 1lb (0.5kg) between all three of them on official ratings.
There are obviously doubts over the stamina of Karl Burke's VENETIAN SUN for this race over 1600m (one-mile), but she was doing her best work late on over 1200m (6f) last year and was unlucky in her only try over 1400m (7f) where she was boxed in and if anything, looked to be done for speed.
Her sire Starman is seemingly a speed influence, but he had horses stay this far from his first-crop of runners last year, so it is not a foregone conclusion that Venetian Sun won't stay and she certainly shapes as if she will.
She was at her best on fast conditions last year so the ground has come right for her too, and she handled the not too dissimilar undulations on the July Course when winning the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes. Her win over Gstaad in the Prix Morny is also outstanding form.
She is drawn right next to favourite Precise in stall one and there has been plenty of market confidence in her over the past week.
Others that warrant respect are Touleen, who can improve for her second in the Fred Darling and is also drawn low, whilst My Highness can also take a step forward for her trial defeat and run with credit for Andre Fabre.
Venetian Sun fends off Gstaad to land the Prix Morny.(Photo: focusonracing.com)
LILT has had just the one start, but William Haggas’s string are flying at the moment, with an impressive three-year-old winner on the first day of the meeting, so it speaks volumes that he has declared this well-bred filly for this Oaks trial, the Listed Pretty Polly Stakes (1.45 BST), a race he won with the impressive Maqsad in 2019.
This daughter of Lope De Vega and dual Group One heroine Dank ran out a narrow winner at Doncaster on soft ground in October but I think she won in spite of the ground that day, her low action suggesting this faster surface should be more to her liking, whilst it was also likeable how she fought off her nearest challenger under hands and heels having made the running.
She is also bred to stay much further than 1200m (7f), so this step up in trip to 2000m (1m2f) should also suit. Esna sets the form standard in this race, but there has to be doubts over her ability to stay this trip and she is as short as 5-4. Lilt looks the value play at 8-1 with any amount of improvement to come. She is entered in the Prix de Diane.
An unusually large field of 13 go to post for the Group Two Dahlia Stakes (2.20 BST) over 1800m (1m1f) and SURVIE, one of the most intriguing new recruits into Britain, looks the one to side with under Ryan Moore.
Trained by Nicolas Clement and Frauke Hermans in France until this year, the five-year-old mare is now with George Boughey and has some of the best form in the book. She came within a head of Classic glory when second in the Prix de Diane in 2024 and has since placed in the Group One Pretty Polly Stakes at the Curragh, as well as the Prix Jean Romanet. She also finished a solid fourth in the Prix Vermeille in September.
She has mixed making the running with hold-up tactics before, so it is difficult to know with confidence how she will be ridden here, but her proven stamina suggests Ryan Moore may settle her prominently and she could be hard to pass on the galloping Rowley Mile, which should also suit.
The ground is no issue to her and she looks likely to give another solid account of herself. Her latest run over 1600m (1m) on the all-weather followed by a short break should have her primed for this.
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