By Angus McNae in Dubai
Finally the Dubai World Cup meeting is upon us and every race is of tremendous interest.
The international challengers have arrived and added to the mix are some top quality domestic horses who emanate from a Carnival that can be rated as the best we have seen for a number of years.
The Dirt track poses a difficult conundrum for punters. There has been a strong inside rail advantage for the past few weeks and it has been hard for closers to get to those who can bag the rail.
However, it would be dangerous to assume that that advantage will be the same on World Cup night. For a start such things are a movable feast and secondly Bob Baffert reported this week that the track had been fluffed up.
The opening Godolphin Mile will be crucial in discovering how the track will ride.
I have six fancies on the night which will hopefully help us to turn £20 into a profit.
Heavy Metal has already had a fabulous season at Meydan and he can cap it all off with a win in the Godolphin Mile.
One thing is for sure, this horse will lead early on and if the rail is the place to be he will take plenty of catching.
Ryan Moore needs to send him early on and get the lead as was the case when Mike Barzalona won on him last time out.
He is a tremendously fast horse who is ideally suited by a one-turn mile and this track plays to his strengths.
Given his early pace he will be clinging on in the closing stages but I think he will take enough petrol out of his rivals early on to repel their finishing efforts.
Vazirabad can win the Dubai Gold Cup for the third year in a row. The race this year is full of early pace and that will suit this hold-up performer.
He was beaten in his prep run for this in the Nad Al Sheba Trophy by Rare Rhythm and with that horse in the field again we are set for a tremendous clash between two classy stayers.
The doubt about Rare Rhythm confirming the form is the fact that he is unproven at two miles and he did rather ambush Vazirabad last time out with Christophe Soumillon getting caught somewhat unaware of what was happening wide out on the track.
Soumillon will be on his guard this time and Vazirabad should be sharper for that run. He can become the first thoroughbred to win a World Cup race three times.
Conquest Tsunami is a fascinating runner in the Al Quoz Sprint.
He is trained by the west coast of America sprint guru Peter Miller and it would be fair to say this horse has improved a good deal for the switch to Miller from Mark Cases.
Since making the move he has won two out of two for his new trainer at Santa Anita, progressing from claiming company to graded stakes.
This is a deep race and Blue Point has an obvious chance, but he is a short price and worth opposing with this fast improving American sprinter.
Benbatl can win the Dubai Turf. His two wins at the carnival this year marked him out as a classy performer, showing that his win in the Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot was no fluke.
His timefigure at Royal Ascot was that of a Group One horse as were his closing sectionals in the second of his wins in Dubai.
He should be three from three at the Carnival but he got a bad wide trip last time out, making a big move on the bend and he paid for that and flattened out. He can bounce back here from a decent draw.
Hawkbill is about 11-1 for the Sheema Classic and looks overpriced. He won on his first start here at Meydan when edging out stablemate Frontiersman.
That in itself is not good enough to win this but he got a poor trip that day and gave away a lot of ground by racing wide.
He already has some classy form to his name in Europe and he may be able to step up markedly on his reappearance run.
The danger is that he could bounce out of that effort but at about 11-1 I will take him each-way.
West Coast is quite simply the best dirt horse around and he can prove it in the Dubai World Cup.
His form behind Gun Runner in the Pegasus and Breeders’ Cup Classic stands head and shoulders above anything his rivals have achieved.
His main problem will be in overcoming his wide post position in 9 and that will be even more tricky if the inside rail is golden.
However, he should be able to put them away in the straight to give Bob Baffert another Dubai World Cup success.
How To Spend £20 on the Dubai World Cup night:
OPTION ONE:
12.45: £1 win on Heavy Metal
1.50: £5 win on Vazirabad
3.05: £1 each-way on Conquest Tsunami
4.35: £4 win on win Benbatl
5.10: £1 each-way on Hawkbill
5.50: £6 win on West Coast
OPTION TWO:
£5 win double on Vazirabad and West Coast
£4 each-way treble on Heavy Metal, Benbatl and Vazirabad
£2 each-way double on Conquest Tsunami and Hawkbill
£3 win double on Heavy Metal and Benbatl