Horse racing tips: Harry Allwood's best bets for Saturday

By Harry Allwood@harry_allwood
Fri 13 May 2022

There’s a stellar day of racing action to look forward to on Racing TV on Saturday, with the highlight being the return of Baaeed in the Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes at Newbury.

The unbeaten son of Sea The Stars progressed rapidly in a short space of time last season winning all six of his starts, and I hope he produces a performance to remember this weekend to confirm he’s Flat racing’s most exciting talent.

The support races at Newbury are full of quality, too, and my best bet on their seven-race card runs in the finale (5.04pm). I’ve also found a handful of selections for Chelmsford, Newmarket and Navan which will all be shown live on Racing TV. Best of luck with your bets.

3.00 Newmarket: Shine So Bright at a general 7-2

This six-year-old got back to winning ways in a first-time hood over this course and distance on good ground last month and, despite being raised 4lb, he remains on an attractive mark.

Andrew Balding’s grey won at Group Two level as a three-year-old but was set some difficult tasks afterwards, both in Group and handicap company, and clearly appreciated dropping back to this level on his return to action, as well as the application of a hood, which he wears again here.

He still raced a shade keenly last time out and did not get much cover, so was probably value for more than the winning margin suggests plus pulled clear with a race-fit rival, who reopposes on Saturday.

Shine So Bright is entitled to strip fitter for that outing and his last handicap success came off a rating of 106, so he still looks well-handicapped off a rating of 102 here, especially with Harry Davies taking off a useful 7lb again.

I’m a big fan of the rising star of the weighing room who has created a big impression in the saddle this season and his mount holds strong claims of recording back-to-back victories at HQ.

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3.45 Chelmsford: Crimson Sand at 11-4 with William Hill

Crimson Sand has gone close in better races that this on his first four starts this season and should be capable of gaining a deserved success in this 0-85 handicap.

He finished third at Lingfield on his latest outing where he wasn’t seen to best effect and had previously run well in two 0-105 handicaps. The consistent performer was beaten less than two lengths on both occasions and now finds himself 4lb above his last winning mark.

However, I have no doubt he is handicapped to win off his rating based upon his performances this season, and with George Rooke taking off a handy 3lb helping his cause.

His form figures at Chelmsford read 1242 and he has the plum draw in stall one. Araifjan and Twilight Madness like to get on with things, so I am hoping they will set the race up nicely for Crimson Sand whose rivals are either out of form, or appear in the grip of the handicapper.

5.04 Newbury: Sinjaari at a general 6-1

A talented handicapper who won the John Smith’s Cup on his return to action in 2020 and was an unlucky loser on his first outing in a valuable handicap off a rating of 105 at York last season.

Given he appears best fresh, I would be surprised if Sinjaari is lacking for fitness on his first start for 217 days and he returns with a rating of 106. He certainly has the class to defy this mark, though, and apprentice rider Harry Burns eases his weight by 5lb.

Despite not getting his head in front since his victory at York in 2020, the six-year-old has gone close in races outside of handicap company over the past couple of seasons and was narrowly beaten in the London Gold Cup at Newbury in 2019.

He races over a mile for the first time here but, given the way he travels, I don’t think the drop in trip will be an issue, especially as he has also clocked some decent sectionals in his races.

The form he has shown over the past couple of seasons entitles him to be shorter than 6-1 for this contest, especially given his record fresh, and he’s a bet at his current odds.

5.35 Navan: Ceallach each-way at 7-1 with Paddy Power and Betfair

This two-year-old caught the eye on debut when fifth in a one-mile maiden at Dundalk and again shaped with bundles of promise to finish third on his next outing at Navan over the same trip.

The form of his second start is working out well as the second and fourth have scored since plus the winner finished runner-up in a Listed contest on his next start.

Given the way he has shaped on his first two outings, the step up in trip is sure to suit Ceallach plus there’s also plenty of stamina on his dam’s side.

Youngsters from the Mick Halford yard tend to benefit from experience and his charge is expected to take another big step forward here.

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