Horse racing tips for Thursday: Dave Nevison reveals his three best bets

Arizona Glory looks well in here from several viewpoints, the first being the fact he is lower than his hurdles mark despite looking as though he might have improved for going over fences.

He is a four-year-old, so gets a useful weight-for-age allowance from his older rivals, and is turned out quickly before his new mark takes effect next week after his good run last time out.

His jumping improved markedly from his first run over fences and it was only by a very narrow margin that he went down when making ground all the way to the line.

Champion jockey Brian Hughes keeps the ride and it looks as though the longer trip might well suit him better as well, so there are plenty of positives.

He is obviously fragile given how many times we have seen him in recent seasons but there was a bit of support for him last time when he reappeared over hurdles which might suggest all is not lost with him.

He ran just okay in that race, which was his first for eight months, but reverting to fences he has been dropped to a mark, and a grade, that is much lower than he has ever contested.

He has a good claimer reducing his weight further and as well as being refitted with headgear, the ground should be perfect for him.

With Ben Pauling being in good form, I will be looking for some encouragement from the market.

I tipped this horse in a similar race last time out and he was heavily backed into 11-10 favourite at the off and was in a good position and travelling very well until he fell... at the first fence!

Previous to that disappointment, he had been runner-up at Lingfield, and the winner there followed up next time, so his form looks solid for the grade.

He is a winner over fences and although he will never be a star, I suspect he will continue to gradually improve and progress into a decent handicapper in the right grade.