News

Horse racing tips for Monday: Harry Allwood's best bets at Market Rasen and Windsor

By Harry Allwood@H_Allwood1
Sun 18 Apr 2021

Harry Allwood has been in fine form in recent weeks and reveals his best bets at Market Rasen and Windsor on Monday.

The racing may not be the highest quality, but there is still some competitive action taking place on Monday, with seven meetings across Britain and Ireland to get stuck into.

The Perth Festival, which gets underway on Wednesday, is one of the feature meetings on Racing TV this week, plus the 2020-21 jumps season comes to a close at Sandown on Saturday where the bet365 Gold Cup takes centre stage.

Despite the flat racing notching up a level over the weekend, jump racing fans still have the Punchestown Festival to look forward too between April 27 - May 1, all live on Racing TV.

Hopefully the three selections below will help boost punting funds for the weeks ahead. Best of luck.

2.40 Windsor: Mystery Show at 6-1 with William Hill

Mystery Show looked a youngster in need of experience last year, and there ought to be plenty more to come from her this season.

The daughter of Showcasing was no match for Indigo Girl when third on her debut, but that was hardly surprising given John Gosden’s filly finished second in the Fillies’ Mile two starts later, and the runner-up, Final Thought, was successful next time out.

Mystery Show travelled well before running green under pressure when getting off the mark at Wolverhampton on her next start and did well to overcome a wide draw on that occasion.

Although she swished her tail at times during the race, it merely looks a quirk as she showed a good attitude when asked for her effort.

Despite finishing over 14 lengths adrift of the winner when last seen, she never looked comfortable on the heavy ground and I think a line can easily be put through that effort. That was also a Listed contest, and connections must think she is capable of better than this 0-85 handicap.

Her breeding doesn’t suggest she will necessarily be suited over ten furlongs, but she was well on top at the finish when scoring over an extended mile last year.

I expect the selection to be ridden handy, and her low draw should allow her to get a good position early, provided she breaks well, which is an advantage at Windsor.

Archie Watson has been operating at a strike-rate of 24 per cent in the past fortnight which provides hope that Mystery Show, who wears cheekpieces for the first time, will be ready to go on her first start for 170 days.

For what it's worth, Watson is also seven from 29 with his handicap debutants that run in fillies' handicaps.

4.45 Windsor: Bronze River each-way at 17-2 with William Hill

This will be Bronze River’s easiest assignment for some time, and it will be disappointing if he is not capable of going close in this 0-75 handicap.

The four-year-old raced predominantly in 0-95 handicaps last season and ran well on a number of occasions without getting his head in front. As a consequence, he now finds himself on a rating of 75.

There were definite signs of promise on his first start for Roger Teal when fifth at Wolverhampton in March where he shaped like he needed the run, and it is easy forgive his latest start where he was ridden too aggressively before paying for those exertions in the home straight.

He also shaped as though his stamina was stretched on his starts further than ten furlongs last year, and this trip and ground should be ideal for him.

One slight negative is his draw in stall nine, but he doesn't tend to race up with the pace, and I expect he will be waited with before mounting his challenge this time under Ray Dawson, who claims a handy 3lb.

6.00 Market Rasen: Really Super at 7-1 with William Hill

Really Super reverts to hurdles for the first time since August 2019 here and appears to have been found a good opportunity.

Amy Murphy’s charge bolted up in a 0-140 contest when last seen over the smaller obstacles off a 9lb lower mark and has taken her form to a higher level over fences since.

The seven-year-old enjoyed her finest hour at this track when landing the Summer Plate last year off a rating of 128, and races off a 2lb higher mark here.

It is easy to forgive her run when pulled up in the Mares’ Chase at the Cheltenham Festival last time out, and this is a more realistic level plus Murphy has had two winners and two horses placed from her past ten runners.

Really Super is surely capable of outclassing her rivals here and looks overpriced at 7-1.

We've teamed up with the Flat experts at Timeform to bring you a FREE copy of their latest book - 50 Flat Horses to Follow throughout the 2021 season. Click here to claim yours for FREE!

More Latest News

Betslip

Loading

Select any odd to add a bet

Single Bets

Enter a stake to place a bet

Total Stake: 

This video is playing in Picture-In-Picture. Click to Exit.