Horse racing tips: Dave Nevison's best bets for Goodwood

2.17 Goodwood: Some Nightmare

He will be favourite here, but deservedly so.

Some Nightmare began a prolific spell of wins from a basement mark of 45 on the all-weather in April, but after another two turf successes now finds himself running off 67. His latest victory came after a short break and he clearly looked to have benefitted from it, putting up a very convincing display.

He has earned his rise up the rankings and I don’t mind rapid weight rises as much with sprinters. The way he won last time, this extra 7lb won’t stop him.

Some Nightmare won on soft ground last time and has previously won on fast ground as well as Tapeta, so I have no concerns on that score. William Buick is an eye-catching jockey booking.

2.52 Goodwood: Migration

Migration has done me big favours the last twice and I’m not going to desert David Menuisier’s charge now as he makes the natural progression to Listed class.

He is fresh for the time of year after just three runs this season and, after going into just about everyone’s notebook at Salisbury, landed a big public gamble over course and distance at Glorious Goodwood.

Migration did even better in victory at York last time and is now pretty much out of handicaps. William Buick has won on him the last twice.

4.35 Goodwood: Rose Hip

She is on her last winning mark from Windsor in late May and has won at Goodwood previously. With a strongly-contested lead here, this looks a good opportunity under Mollie Phillips – an apprentice jockey I’m a fan of.

Rose Hip was second to the re-opposing Just That Lord last time and the 7lb weight pull here wouldn’t be enough to reverse fortunes having watched that race, but the weights turnaround rises another 6lb when accounting for both apprentices’ claims and that may tip the balance.

Things went absolutely perfectly for Just That Lord last time and he pretty much had the race won after bursting clear. It may have been the move to Simon Hodgson - who has his sprinters in very good form this summer - but this time Just That Lord will have others wanting to challenge for the early lead. He is now off the highest mark he has won off in recent seasons and Rose Hip was backed into even money to beat him last time.