Dave Nevison, Andy Stephens, Alex Scott, Johnny Ward and Martin Dixon share their selections for an exciting day of action that includes four meetings live on Racing TV. For more selections from our experts, click here. WIN THE ULTIMATE FLAT PACK!
1.42 Newmarket: Twisting Physics
Tipster: Dave Nevison.
Best odds: 2-1.
➡️ Find three more selections from Dave by clicking here.
Jamie Spencer and Fitri Hey had a very good Dane Festival and can move on successfully to
Newmarket with this lightly raced gelding.
Twisting Physics will be having just his sixth start in three seasons but he has already won a decent handicap over this trip at
Newbury on his second and final start last season.
He reappeared after almost 12 months off at Newbury last time and did well to be beaten less than three lengths in sixth.
With a clearer run through he would no doubt have finished closer and he has been given a month to refresh.
2.00 Newbury: Allaire
Tipster: Alex Scott
Best odds: 11-2 (advised ante-post 8-1).
Andrew Balding’s challenger has finished second behind two promising fillies and has progressed nicely. Her latest effort came when chasing home Oaks candidate I’m The One last month, so she has course experience and arrives here race fit.
Her trainer is also in flying form, and the combination of Balding and jockey Oisin Murphy do well at Newbury – the RaceiQ data shows us that they have an Average Over Expected (A/E) of 1.48 and 1.66 respectively at the Berkshire venue.
The two market leaders look promising and could also improve, but they are there to take on at their current odds with not an especially high level of form. As such this race may not take as much winning as usual and Allaire could be up to the task. She will have learnt plenty last time.
2.35 Newbury: More Thunder
Tipster: Andy Stephens (RaceiQ Data Detective).
Best odds: 15-2.
More Thunder clocked some great speed figures when thriving over 6f and 7f last season, and he looks overpriced to shine over a mile in the Lockinge.
He returns to scene of his Hungerford Stakes victory in August. That Group Two contest was run at a strong gallop, with the RaceiQ data revealing all the runners were at their quickest in the second furlong, with several nudging 42mph.
The frenetic pace took its toll, and nine of the ten runners recorded “slow” or “very slow” sectionals for the final two furlongs. The exception was the More Thunder, who kept powering on to win in a record time. That’s typical of him as he ran over 32 furlongs last year and ran Par, or faster, in 29 of them.
His Time Index of 9.3 at Newbury was a standout on a card when the meeting average was 6.2.
He had earlier got up on the line in the Bunbury Cup and been an unlucky loser in the Wokingham. In the latter race he passed more than 20 rivals in the final two furlongs but lost out by a head.
More Thunder signed off for the year with a staying-on fourth on testing ground in the Prix de la Foret, doing all he could from a draw in the car park. All his Finishing Speed percentages point to his strength at the finish and it could be that moving up in trip will show him in an even better light.
3.10 Newbury: Albert Einstein
Tipster: Johnny Ward.
Best odds: 11-4.
➡️
click here for more of Johnny's Saturday fancies.Aidan O'Brien has talked this horse up to the extent that he should be winning a Listed race with conditions and trip in his favour.
Ardisia did the Newbury form a good service since and I feel that was a decent run from the horse, with the hood taken off. He is worth one more chance given the impression he made at two.
5.10 Wrydcroft
Tipster: Martin Dixon.
Best odds: 6-4.
Wrydcroft looks to have been found a good opportunity to complete his hat-trick for Pam Sly.
The four-year-old has thrived over the past nine months since being sent handicapping, winning four of his five starts.
He's a forward going, enthusiastic horse who should be well suited by the track at Newmarket.
You are not likely to be getting a big price about him, but I fancy he will take an awful lot of beating as he's progressive and in a field full of mostly exposed types.