Dave Nevison’s top tips for the final day of the Ebor meeting at York

By Dave Nevison
Sat 24 Aug 2019

Dave Nevison likes the chances of a 10-1 chance in the Ebor and has two other fancies on the card.

3.40 York: Ben Vrackie each-way at 10-1 with Sky bet, who offer eight places

I thought Ben Vrackie was a certainty at Newmarket last time but he finished nearly last. It seems like he left his race behind at Royal Ascot, where he ran an absolute blinder after a slow start from a wide draw.

I have to forgive that effort, especially as he is 4lb higher on Saturday, but if there is a trainer who can bring one back for a big target surely John Gosden is the one.

I usually fight shy of backing Frankie Dettori on a Saturday afternoon but the numbers show that in the big handicaps that is a foolish thing to do as he returns a profit at SP in £50,000-plus handicaps.

Ben Vrackie’s draw in 22 will raise concern but a glance at recent renewals suggests that if anything horses from stalls on the outside have a modest advantage.

He is a big horse who might not want crowding, so being wide may well be a plus, especially as he will start slower than some and probably be best advised to come around the field in the straight.

If he reproduces his Ascot form he will go very close indeed.

The forecast in a race such as this might be ambitious but I Baghdad, who narrowly beat him at Ascot, might improve for the step up in trip and could chase him home.

4.45 York: Forest Of Dean each-way

I am sticking with the same combination of Gosden/Dettori in this classy handicap.

I believe Forest Of Dean may well improve to be Group class and, if so, he should beat a field of very good but largely exposed handicappers here.

This horse started his three-year-old season looking like he was going places and he has run well in all races since without perhaps having the steep upward trajectory some might have thought.

His latest win at Goodwood suggested to me he was on his way up again.

He beat the other three-year-old contender in the. field, Victory Command, in good style and should confirm that running on 2lb better terms. Johnston’s horse has won on the all-weather since that run.

A strong pace is guaranteed, which will suit Forest Of Dean who is likely to be be mid-pack on the inside. If Dettori gets a clear run through he will go very close.

5.20 York: Moss Gill each-way at a general 5-1 (several firms offer five places)

Angus Villiers is defending a 100 per cent record at York, having got the better of Danny Tudhope in a gruelling stayers’ handicap under completely different conditions last month.

The young apprentice certainly caught many people’s eye with that win and seeing him claiming 7lb against other apprentices certainly makes me think his mount is worth a look.

Moss Gill has been busy and consistent this season in sprints but comes here after a short break and hopefully will continue the progression that has seen him rise a stone since the start of this season.

He showed he could handle a big field last time at Newmarket and winners have already come from that race.

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