16:40 Newcastle
BetMGM: Stay Golden With Responsible Play EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Gbb Race) (Class 5) (AllWeather)
2YO only 7f 14y Winner: £3,672 (10 runners)
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NO./DRAW/FORM HORSE
AGE
WGT.
OR
RTG
ODDS
Odds courtesy of
3
1/5
3
1/5
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4/5
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4/6
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11/2
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4/1
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33/1
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150/1
Best Odds are in bold. Best Book 122%
Non-Runners 0/10
Shortening
Drifting
Tips
Stats
Race Hints
TF
Timeform
verdict
1st
Aqua Bear
5/6
2nd
Thestral
11/2
3rd
Henriette Ronner
5/2
AQUA BEAR was runner-up twice in maidens for previous connections in Ireland, including on his latest appearance at Dundalk, and this looks a good opportunity for the colt to make a winning start on this side of the Irish Sea. Thestral is a likely type on paper and it will look significant if he's strong in the betting, while Henriette Ronner is probably capable of better than what she's shown to date.
Tipsters
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Source: newspaper tipsters
selections
About The Selections
TF
Smart Stats
8
Henriette Ronner
27% William Haggas's strike rate at NEWCASTLE since the start of the 2021 season
5/2
8
Henriette Ronner
21% William Haggas's strike rate with horses running in races between 7f and up to 10f
5/2
8
Henriette Ronner
22% William Haggas's strike rate in winter
5/2
TF
Race Hints
Specific Pace Hint: Mick The Vest could be expected to race prominently. Of those in the front half of the betting forecast, Aqua Bear might be well positioned in a slowly run affair: Of the better-fancied horses, Half Mine is most likely to be ridden furthest from the pace.
Individual Price Hint: Aqua Bear traded at 25% or less of Betfair SP twice on its last 3 starts.
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