Top presenter and times expert Angus McNae shares four additional horses that are worth keeping an eye on in this bonus column to accompany this week's edition of The Verdict. Make sure to watch the latest show below!
I covered one race from each day at the Sky Bet Ebor Festival in the latest edition of The Verdict. It was tough to pick out just four races from what was an excellent four days of sport, but at least I can pick up some more interesting angles in this column.
SEEING IS NOT ALWAYS BELIEVING
In the absence of Stradivarius and Trueshan the Lonsdale Cup was up four grabs last Friday and Quickthorn destroyed his rivals to win by 14 lengths. Visually this was an impressive effort and for some may signal that Quickthorn is the new staying superstar on the block.
The Finishing Speed percentage (FSP) of 100.71% tells us that Quickthorn was raced evenly by Tom Marquand and, having been given many lengths by the others, he was always going to be very hard to run down.
Selected Lonsdale Cup sectionals (Coursetrack)
The early part of the race was the crucial stage. While establishing a clear advantage Quickthorn completed the first eight furlongs in 1m 48.92s, which meant he averaged 13.62s per furlong through that first mile. While running those splits, he poached a 10-length plus advantage. Quite simply the other jockeys let him go in erroneously thinking he would come back to them, but going an even gallop when given a long easy lead was manna from Heaven for Marquand.
What of the future? Well, one thing is for sure - Quickthorn will not be allowed as much rope next time, yet it must be recognised that he is a relentless galloper who has improved since front-running tactics were adopted.
HELL OF A TRIP
This race was not that strongly run (FSP 104.50%) with the winner racing prominently and showing a good turn of foot to win.
He came home through the final three furlongs in 36.54s, looking strong at the line and clearly being suited by stepping back up in trip. He can probably win again, but I believe the fourth Kingofhell is a surefire future winner in this field.
BetVictor Handicap sectionals (Coursetrack)
He was poorly positioned in rear given the pace of the race but finished strongly and his final three furlongs were notably quicker than the winner.
His final furlong of 12.43s was the quickest in the race and he finished with plenty still to give. He has dropped below his last winning mark and can win one of these races.
BACK IN TRIP
Mill Stream finished fourth, his final furlong of 13.24s the third-slowest in the race. Yet if you trace back through his figures you will find two furlongs where he was the fastest.
Tattersalls Acomb Stakes sectionals (Coursetrack)
Through the fifth furlong he was the only horse to dip under 11.00s, firing in a rapid 10.76s. He backed that up with a sixth furlong of 11.75s, the joint-fastest in the race. Thereafter he slowed down to that 13.24s final furlong. What these numbers tell us is that he did not stay the seven-furlong trip. He needs to return to the six furlongs over which he won on his debut.
His dam was a sprinter, his half-sister won the Richmond over six furlongs and he too looks to be all speed. He is absolutely worth putting in your
Racingtv.com tracker.
A ROYAL HIGH
The Convivial maiden at York won by Desert Order looks to be a strong race and the final time of 1m 25.43s was quicker than Chaldean in the Acomb.
The winner was making his third start with both of the front two boasting previous experience and setting a decent standard, yet it was a newcomer who caught the eye and the analytics tell us that we were not visually deceived.
Hi Royal, a newcomer trained by Kevin Ryan, was sent off at 50-1 yet ran a race full of promise. He was inconvenienced by being held up in a race where it paid to be close to the pace (FSP 103.16%) yet his finishing effort was really impressive. Below are the final three furlong splits of the first three home.
Convivial maiden sectionals (Coursetrack)
His finishing splits amounted him being more than a second quicker than the two in front of him. Sometimes such an effort can be explained by the leaders going off hard whilst the hold-up horses preserve their energy.
However, we know from the winner's FSP of 103.61% that he was not stopping. He was finishing strongly and yet Hi Royal was still running him down all the way to the line.
This was a very impressive effort from this debutant, who is a surefire future winner.