Andy Stephens (The Data Detective) gives his Yorkshire Cup verdict and also likes a 20-1 chance for the final day of the Dante Festival.
✅
3.30 YORK: PRINCESS D’ORANGE0-20mph: 2.34sec. Top Speed: 39.06mph.
Time Index: 8.2 (meeting average 7.5).
Princess D’Orange looked an exciting prospect when making all for an easy four-length win at Beverley last month.
She took just 2.34 seconds to reach 20mph and won in a time almost two seconds quicker than the RaceiQ Par, despite her jockey easing up close home. Her sire, Ardad, won the Windsor Castle and she can book her Royal Ascot ticket.
The biggest threat could be Niewiadoma, who did plenty right when winning on her debut, including on the clock. That form has been franked.
Highest Ever Speed: 39.83mph.
St Leger Time Index: 8.9 (meeting average 6.8).
Final 3f at Doncaster: 36.44sec (easily best)
Rahiebb promises to be one of this year’s top stayers and can go one better than when being beaten a neck by Scandinavia in last season’s St Leger.
The Roger Varian-trained colt was fastest through each of the final two furlongs at Town Moor, having previously fared best of those from off the pace when third in the Queen’s Vase. He also ran well at this meeting 12 months ago when trying to concede 8lb to handicap snip Merchant.
Amiloc thirived on his racing last term and rates the obvious danger.
✅ 4.40 YORK: ENTAILED (each-way)
Highest Ever Speed: 42.69mph.
0-20mph last time: 2.3sec. Stall 2 draw: A/E 1.83.
Entailed looks an each-way contender in this sprint handicap after her encouraging third at Thirsk last month, when having her first start for Gemma Tutty.
She took just 2.3 seconds to reach 20mph and was in contention all the way in a race run quicker that Par, with the form solid. She is drawn in stall 2 and the Actual versus Expected for horses in that gate, from a study of 135 races, is 1.83.
We've already seen at York this week that it does not pay to race far off the pace in the sprints at the track, which is endorsed by the historical RaceiQ data.
WIN THE ULTIMATE FLAT PACK!