We need all the help we can get to solve the seven daily puzzles at The Festival, so Andy Stephens looks at what the data tells us for day three.
✅ BAMBINO FEVER
Bambino Fever was a brilliant winner of the Champion Bumper last year when fastest through each of the final four furlongs despite being pushed wide.
She suffered a surprise defeat at the hands of Oldschool Outlaw (has since won again) on her hurdling bow but made no mistake last time when gaining more than 18 lengths with her jumping.
Bambino Fever’s jumping has come under scrutiny, but she has attacked four flights at 31.5mph or quicker and got an average score of 7.75 when negotiating obstacles at pace. Her Finishing Speed Percentage has been best every time she has run, and she appeals as the type to devour Cheltenham’s New Course.
❌ TEAHUPOO ✅ MA SHANTOU
Teahupoo has run three times at Cheltenham and his Jump Index scores, marked out of 10, have got worse each time: 7.1, 6.9 and 6.1
His leaping was certainly a factor in him surrendering his Stayers’ Hurdle crown last year.
He lost an average of more than half a length to that rival at each of the dozen flights, and his efforts this season – he’s got marks of 6.9 and 6.7 – have also lacked some polish.
Teahupoo has new faces to overcome, including the British-trained trio of
Kabral Du Mathan,
Impose Toi and
Ma Shantou.
The data points to this trio all being much slicker jumpers than him, and Bob Olinger for that matter. Their respective career Jump Index scores are 8.1, 8.0 and 7.8.
Perhaps the best qualified among them is Ma Shantou, who is 3/3 at Cheltenham this season, achieving Jump Index scores of 8.2, 8.4 and 7.9. He was also strong at the finish when landing the Cleeve Hurdle last time, completing the final furlong 1.47sec quicker than Impose Toi, the Long Walk Hurdle hero.
✅ ACE OF SPADES
Ace Of Spades most be among the most improved jumpers in training. Last season he was routinely getting Jump Index scores of 6.4 or lower but this term he’s had four starts and only once got lower than an 8.
His last two leaps when pouncing from off the pace to win at Huntingdon last time were superb, gaining him individual scores of 9.1 and 9, plus gaining him five lengths. He didn’t surrender ground at any of the 12 flights.
The seven-year-old has also been seeing out his races strongly, with his Finishing Speed percentage being best in four of his past five starts.