Saturday horse racing tips: Dave Nevison's best bets

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Sat 25 Sep 2021

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Dave Nevison shares his best bets on an excellent day of live action on Racing TV, headed by a Group one double-header in the Cheveley Park and Middle Park Stakes and the historic Cambridgeshire Handicap. Enjoy every moment from Newmarket, Haydock, Listowel, Market Rasen, Chelmsford and the Curragh via on Racing TV.

I’m all in with Inspiral for the 1000 Guineas in one of my rare ante-post bets, so I’ll be watching a cracking renewal of the Cheveley Park Stakes very closely. Obviously, I’ve been very impressed with Sacred Bridge and her four straight wins so far but hopefully the home challenge will see off the Ger Lyons filly.

The Royal Lodge and Middle Park are fantastic supporting events on Cambridgeshire day but the broken record is playing once again, however - I really didn’t anticipate my search for a decent eight-runner Saturday handicap taking me to Chelmsford’s evening card.

3.40 Newmarket: Magical Morning and Astro King

John Gosden has thrown me a little by running two serious contenders in the big-race handicap he loves to target.

Three tips here would be a bit strong - even for me! - and I have deserted Uncle Bryn who has an extremely similar profile to Lord North, Gosden’s Cambridgeshire winner from two years ago. Frankie Dettori’s decision to stay loyal to Magical Morning (I am assuming he had the choice) has certainly influenced my thinking but that is not the only factor by any means.

The four-year-old has bagged a good stall in 35, which looks even better given all the pace-setters around him - certainly on Thursday’s evidence, the stands' rail was a good place to be. Magical Morning disappointed at Goodwood before bouncing back to form when second to Cruyff Turn (runs earlier in the day) at York last time and, while the gallop that day might not have suited him, there will be no issues on that score this time. Everything should suit him and, if he proves to be in the faster group, I think he will go very close.

I hope I'm not throwing good money after bad on Astro King, who has a habit of hitting a flat spot before running on well but too late in the day.

He also ran behind Cruyff Turn at York and may have been even more inconvenienced by the lack of pace. To me, he looks ideal for a race such as this and the low point of the Dip on the Rowley Mile looks perfectly positioned to enable him to get into top gear up to the finish.

Astro King was definitely on the wrong side at Royal Ascot and ran a blinder in the Hunt Cup, showing this test suits him. I’m hoping he heads stands' side from stall 17 and we see a Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori tussle to the line.

5.24 Newmarket: Jumby

He has been left alone by the handicapper for his latest win and may improve again at seven furlongs.

Jumby won a good 0-105 handicap over six furlongs on this course at the Guineas meeting and looked set for a really good season. He was tried in the Commonwealth Cup and Group One level may have been too strong for him before a midsummer lull, but he bounced back with a very good run on the July course and then a cosy win in a three-runner conditions event at Salisbury last time.

Jumby won over seven furlongs as a juvenile, so this trip is fine and William Buick is back on board for the first time since victory at the Guineas meeting. This opposition is talented but some struggle to win and others look as though the handicapper might now be in charge after winning spells.

7.30 Chelmsford: Crimson Sand

He may be set for a good spell this side of Christmas, as he certainly seems to enjoy an All-weather track much more than turf.

Crimson Sand lost his unbeaten run on artificial surfaces last time but still ran very well for second - and may well have been put off by a rider’s whip flailing in front of him close home. The winner Boomshalaa is a very useful type and a mere 1lb rise for Crimson Sand looks generous. In any case, the useful George Rooke claims 3lb and has been riding recent winners for Roger Teal and Hughie Morrison. Hopefully it will be well worth waiting until 7.30!

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