News

How To Bet £20 on Saturday: Harry Allwood's top tips for Warwick and Kempton

By Harry Allwood@H_Allwood1
Fri 15 Jan 2021

Harry Allwood selected winners at 9-1, 3-1 and 3-1 - from four selections - in his tipping column on Monday and reveals his four best bets for Saturday's racing action.

Warwick’s biggest meeting of the year takes centre stage on Saturday, and there are usually some Cheltenham Festival, and Grand National, clues on offer during the course of the afternoon.

The Ballymore Leamington Novices’ Hurdle (2.25pm) has been won by The New One and Willoughby Court, who both went on to win at the Festival, in recent years, and a certain Paisley Park finished runner-up in the 2018 renewal.

There are a handful of Grand National hopes among the contenders in the McCoy Classic Civil Engineering Classic Handicap Chase (3.00pm), a race which was won by One For Arthur in 2017, and this year’s renewal looks as competitive as ever.

Warwick is one of four meetings live on Racing TV on Saturday, and all the racing action will be previewed from 11.30am on Sky Ch.426, and also on racingtv.com/videos.

Don’t forget, you can start a free month trial of Racing TV at the moment. Click here for more details.

3.00 Warwick: Captain Chaos at 11-2 with Paddy Power and Betfair

Tipping a horse with form figures of ‘PP0’ next to their name isn’t exactly standard practice, but there are reasons to believe Captain Chaos will bounce back to his best here.

The ten-year-old attempted to make all in this contest 12 months ago and had the majority of his rivals toiling from a long way out, including the winner, before eventually finding only the well-handicapped Kimberlite Candy too good.

Dan Skelton said that he thought his charge did not quite stay the trip on that occasion, but I think it was more to do with the fact he was aggressively ridden, and was always going to struggle to get home given how far out he was being asked for his effort.

He backed that performance up with a 54-length victory in the Grimthorpe Handicap Chase next time out in similarly gruelling conditions to what he is likely to encounter at Warwick on Saturday.

He wore blinkers on both of those occasions, and they have been left off on his three starts this season, but are re-applied here which suggests an improved effort is on the horizon.

Two of his starts this season have also been on good ground, which he is not seen to best effect on, and has now dropped back to a rating of 136, 2lb higher than what he ran off in the Classic Chase last year.

This contest is sure to have been the plan for a while judged by how he has been campaigned, and he has attracted plenty of support having been as big as 16-1 earlier in the week. I am still happy to side with him though, as there is no doubt he has the ability to win, if showing his best.

There are a couple of others in the race this year who like to lead, most notably Storm Control who has made all in his past two starts, but Captain Chaos isn’t reliant on making the running, and I expect Harry Skelton to ride him a shade more patiently this time.

I will also be having a saver on the attractively-handicapped Le Breuil who was in the process of producing an improved run when making a blunder in the Becher Chase, and things didn’t go right for him in last year’s Classic Chase following a slow start.

3.35 Warwick: Come On Teddy at a general 9-2

This seven-year-old produced a career-best to score at Cheltenham last time out, and a 7lb rise for that victory looks fair given he was well on top at the finish, and the runner-up, On The Blind Side, has since finished second behind McFabulous in the rescheduled Relkeel Hurdle. He also had useful yardsticks Mohaayed and Agrapart in behind.

That is probably the best piece of form on offer this season in this contest, and Come On Teddy looks a staying hurdler firmly on the up given he is now two-from-three in races over 2m7f-plus, with his only defeat over longer trips being on his seasonal debut where he shaped as though he was in need of the run.

Bring home the Jumps with a free month of Racing TV! Watch full coverage of the best British and Irish meetings. Start your free month at racingtv.com/freemonth!

He moight well sneak in the Pertemps Final off his new rating of 134, but winning this will guarantee him a place in that contest at the Cheltenham Festival, which is sure to be the aim.

His rivals are either exposed, or need to up their game to be competitive, and because of that, I thought Come On Teddy should be chalked up at shorter than 9-2.

The obvious danger is Imperial Alcazar, especially on the form he showed last season when defeating Protektorat in a Listed Hurdle at Cheltenham, but he has stamina to prove over this trip.

6.50 Kempton: Uzincso at 7-2 with William Hill

I am usually keen to take on a horse that appears to have been harshly treated for a narrow victory, but Uzincso strikes as being a gelding that only just does enough.

The five-year-old, who is seeking a four-timer, travelled like the best horse in the race and pulled over three lengths clear of the third when successful over course and distance for the fourth time in December, and the runner-up scored on his next start in a similar contest to this.

Uzincso also overcame stall 14 on his previous start where he was value for more than the winning margin suggests, and is nicely berthed in stall eight on Saturday which will hopefully allow him to get some cover early on under Adam Kirby, who guided his mount to victory in September.

A 6lb rise obviously demands more in this slight rise in grade, but Uzincso has only had nine starts and clearly relishes this course and distance.

7.20 Kempton: Lady Of Aran at 14-1 with William Hill

I was surprised to see Lady Of Aran chalked up at 14-1 for this contest as she has some of the strongest form next to her name, and her last three efforts can be excused, especially her latest run where she was denied a clear run entering the final furlong.

Charlie Fellowes’ mare was victorious in a 0-105 fillies’ handicap at Newmarket in September off a rating of 82 and is back down to that mark here, with Georgia Dobie again taking 5lb off her back.

The six-year-old was set a stiff task in a Listed contest on her next start, and again at Wolverhampton in November where she was conceding weight to rivals rated higher than her, including Dancing Feet, who is among the opposition here.

Including Dobie’s 5lb claim, that rival will carry a stone more than the selection on Saturday, and Lady Of Aran was only six lengths behind her at Wolverhampton.

That makes the price difference between the pair too big, especially as Dancing Feet hasn’t really progressed in three subsequent starts.

Lady Of Aran has won plus finished in the first three five times from six starts over course and distance, and if you take out the favourite, this doesn’t look the strongest race, so is worth chancing at her double-figure odds dropping in class.

How To Bet £20 on Saturday:

Option one:

3.00 Warwick: Captain Chaos - £6 win at 11-2

3.35 Warwick: Come On Teddy - £4 win at 9-2

6.50 Kempton: Uzincso - £6 win at 7-2

7.20 Kempton: Lady Of Aran - £2 win at 14-1

Plus 4 x 50p win trebles (£2)

Option two:

£1 win patent

3.00 Warwick: Captain Chaos

3.35 Warwick: Come On Teddy

6.50 Kempton: Uzincso

Above trio in a £1 win Yankee with:

7.20 Kempton: Lady Of Aran

Plus a £1 each-way accumulator on the four selections.

Fancy getting your hands on newly-designed Racing TV Gilet for FREE? Click here for more details!

More Latest News

Betslip

Loading

Select any odd to add a bet

Single Bets

Enter a stake to place a bet

Total Stake: 

This video is playing in Picture-In-Picture. Click to Exit.