How To Bet £20 on Saturday: Burnt Sugar to taste so sweet at 40-1

By Andy Stephens@StevoGG
Sat 29 Jul 2017

By Andy Stephens

There are six Group One winners in the field for the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes (3.35) at Ascot on Saturday but Enable might be cut from a different cloth and, in receipt of 14lb from her older rivals away from fast ground, she has the potential to run her rivals ragged.

The John Gosden-trained filly is on another plane to the other three-year-old fillies over a mile and a half and I’ve no doubt she is better than all the boys of her generation as well.

She has all the attributes of a middle-distance champion, being a strong stayer with a high cruising speed and potent turn of foot.

If the general 5-4 does not rock your boat, then consider backing her to win by a couple of lengths or more in markets which are not currently available.

You can quibble with what the dual Oaks winner has achieved in terms of form but her runaway win at Epsom was backed up by the clock and she was again electric when following up at the Curragh.

Enable - Irish Oaks - Dettori - RF

Dettori celebrates winning the Irish Oaks on Enable

I would not worry about the fact that her run in Ireland was only two weeks ago because she won easily and her pedigree points to softish ground posing no problem.

With more rain forecast, conditions will not be ideal for the warrior-like Highland Reel, while his younger brother, Idaho, is going to have to up his game.

There seemed more to Jack Hobbs’s below-form run at Royal Ascot last month than the ground/trip, while a stiff test over 12 furlongs is probably not going to show Eclipse winner Ulysses to best advantage.

Desert Encounter has each-way possibilities at 25-1 but he can fluff the start and is he really good enough to lay a glove on Enable? I doubt it.

There look to be some cracking bets on the supporting card, starting with _Neola _appealing at a general 8-1 in the Princess Margaret Juddmonte Stakes (1.50).

She ran creditably when fifth to Heartache on rattling quick ground in the Queen Mary without threatening but had previously run a cracker on soft going at York when beating all bar the very smart but subsequently injured Main Desire. Back on a slower surface, with a sixth furlong well within her compass, she can win at the main expense of then unbeaten Dance Diva.

The 27-runner Gigaset International Stakes (3.00) is not for the faint-hearted but I’m happy to throw a couple of darts at the board in the shape of Burnt Sugar, who is 40-1 with William Hill, and Fawaareq, chalked up at a general 16-1.

_Burnt Sugar _was a taking winner over 7f on softish ground at Doncaster in June and has had valid excuses on his past two starts. The four-year-old is 18lb lower in the ratings than when sixth in the Wokingham last year and Roger Fell, his trainer, who acquired him from Richard Hannon at the start of this term, has been firing home the winners this month.

Fawaareq is a strong traveller at home on any ground who again hinted he had a decent prize in him when a solid third at Newmarket last time. If nothing else, he has back-to-lay potential.

I will either be in a position to play up winnings or be in a punting hole by the time of the Longines Handicap (4.35) for lady riders, in which Supersta has excellent prospects.

He shaped as if his turn was close when chasing home Makzeem at Newmarket on his penultimate start and you can put a line through his latest effort there in a muddling contest.

He seems certain to get the decent pace that brings out the best in him and Hayley Moore has few peers, taking the spoils in this race in 2011 and 2012 plus being denied by a short head in 2014.

At York, the William Haggas-trained Victory Bond is irresistible, at 12-1 with BetVictor, in the Sky Bet York Stakes (3.15).

Horse Racing - 2015 Dante Festival - Tattersalls Musidora Stakes - York Racecourse _Trainer William Haggas is operating at a 30% strike-rate in the past fortnight. _ He rises in class but might have already shown himself to be up to the level had he enjoyed better fortune, including in the John Smith’s Cup on his latest start. Plenty of rain is forecast to hit the track overnight but that will not inconvenience him.

Soft ground also holds no fears for the Haggas-trained Battered, who has bright prospects in the Win £100K For Free At Now Handicap (2.05).

The race did not pan out for him at Newmarket last time but he had previously been a taking winner in the mud at York. Take the general 7-2 on offer.

How to bet £20 on Saturday (Prices correct at noon on Friday)

OPTION ONE 1.50 Ascot: £3 win on Neola at a general 8-1 2.05 York: £3 win on Battered at a general 7-2 3.00 Ascot: £1 each-way on Burnt Sugar at 40-1 with William Hill 3.00 Ascot: £1 each-way on Fawaareq at a general 16-1 3.15 York: £4 win on Victory Bond at 12-1 with BetVictor 3.35 Ascot: £3 on Enable at a general 5-4 4.45 Ascot: £3 win on Supersta

OPTION TWO £1 Win Lucky Fifteen (general odds in brackets) 2.05 York: Battered (7-2) 3.15 York: Victory Bond (10-1) 3.35 Ascot: Enable (5-4) 4.45 Ascot: Supersta Plus £5 win double on Battered and Enable

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