Horse racing tips for Tuesday: Dave Nevison's best bets at Southwell
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Dave Nevison

Horse racing tips for Tuesday: Dave Nevison's best bets at Southwell

By Dave Nevison
Last Updated: Tue 5 Dec 2023
I enjoyed a profitable few days with my selections on the all-weather last week and, even though it does look as though the rain is relenting this week, Limerick has been forced to abandon their meeting on Tuesday, and Exeter has already been called off on Wednesday.
I am kicking off with three horses at Southwell on Tuesday who are all returning to the scene of their best performances, some more recent than others. Let’s hope the week begins where it left off last week and we enjoy another successful few days.
It is entirely his record at the track that makes me think it is worth chancing Three C’s, and that he might return to form on this surface.
He has three wins and a second, from four starts, at Southwell next to his name and they all came within the space of a month last year.
He was raised to a mark of 68 after that winning spree, but wasn’t able to remain competitive off that rating, and is now back down to a mark of 55 plus is running in a handicap grade lower than the lowest he has previously won in.
Circumstances are clearly set for him to win here, but his form certainly needs to improve to do so.
However, he has had a month break and Ben Curtis, who won on Three C’s last year, is back on board, so the moons look to be aligning.
Gabrial The Devil ran below-par on his only start at Southwell prior to this year, but his last two starts at the track have been completely different and he certainly looks to have taken to the Fibresand surface.
He has not won off a higher rating than 85 in the past, and is on 88 here, but I believe he could well be up to the task.
The higher-grade handicaps, particularly at Southwell, tend to be less competitive and have smaller fields than elsewhere, and it enables him to get the lead easier, which suits him well, plus that is certainly an effective running style here.
It looks very likely he will lead again here, and with the form he is in, there is a strong chance he will stay there.
This six-year-old was dropped to a rating of 54 following a string of below-par efforts, including two runs over a mile, which he doesn’t stay, at this track and showed his appreciation when third off this mark over course and distance last time out.
He was beaten less than a length by Daafy, who reopposes here, on that occasion, and that rival is now 3lb worse off.
That will make it close again between the pair, but that race went well for Daafy who likes to come late off a good pace, whereas my selection was pressured on the lead and ended up doing too much.
De Bruyne Horse looks as though he may have an easier time in the lead here and with his yard in good form, is set to land one of these contests soon.
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