Goodwood tips: Harry Allwood's best bets for Saturday

Best odds: 7-2 (general). 

This four-year-old has gradually progressed in middle-distance and staying races over the past couple of seasons, and he had been racing with a visor on until first-time blinkers were applied last time out, which proved a good move by connections as he produced a career best to land the bet365 Trophy at Newmarket.

A 6lb rise for a length and three-quarter victory there may appear to leave him vulnerable, but I thought he was value for more than the winning margin suggests given he put the race to bed in a matter of strides over two furlongs from home (he also appeared to idle out in front, too).

He travelled strongly and quickened nicely in a race where the pace wasn't strong, and he should be able to get a decent position from stall nine plus race handily again here. 

I'm hoping this race pans out in a similar way, and if Fairbanks can gain a couple of lengths on his rivals in the straight, then he could prove tough to catch.

Andrew Balding's charge relished the step up to 1m6f at HQ, and he's scored twice on good to firm ground, and won at this venue last year, so everything looks in place for another big run with Oisin Murphy aboard. The in-form rider clearly gets on well with Fairbanks who can take a pull in his races, but Murphy, who is three from four aboard the selection, knows how to get the best out of him.

Best odds: 15-2 (general). 

There are plenty of contenders here who look exposed and in the grip of the handicapper, so the one who stands out is Purosangue who is officially 4lb well in on official ratings and he could prove the class act on his return to handicap company.

The three-year-old produced some smart form last year, including when a narrow second behind Big Evs in the Molecomb Stakes at this meeting. 

He won plus was second twice in three starts at Listed level afterwards and has peformed with credit in Group company this season, most noticeably when producing a career best to finish second in the Coral Charge last time out.

Andrew Balding's charge certainly wasn't disgraced in the Group One King Charles III Stakes prior to that where he was hampered in the final furlong, and is still open to progress with just ten starts next to his name.

A strongly-run six furlongs should be ideal for him, and he's shown decent form on fast ground in the past. Stall 14 will give Oisin Murphy options, too, so he shouldn't have any excuses granted luck in running, and there's plenty to like about his chances. 

Best odds: 33-1 (Bet365 and William Hill, both paying 6 places). 

I'm also going to take a chance on Purosangue's stablemate, Fivethousandtoone, in the Coral Stewards' Cup as there are reasons to believe he will outrun his chunky odds (he's 33-1 at the time of writing).

The son of Frankel has improved bundles since being fitted with headgear a couple of years ago and produced strong form when successful in a valuable six-furlong handicap at Newcastle in March off a rating of 98 where he defeated a few of his rivals here, including Billyjoh (4th), Albasheer (7th), Summerghand (8th), Cover Up (11th) and The X O (13th).

The runner-up, Misty Grey, has scored twice since, too, and it's notable the pair pulled clear of the third.

Things haven't quite gone to plan for Fivethousandtoone since, but he ran as well as could have been expected in a hot renewal of the Duke Of York (won by subsequent July Cup winner Mill Stream) and he suffered traffic problems in the Wokingham before running well in a Group Three on the all-weather behind higher-rated rivals. 

It's also best to forgive his latest effort in a race that wasn't run to suit over an unfavourable trip.

The six-year-old was successful over this course and distance in 2022 and he didn't have a hard race at Ascot last weekend, so I'm not worried about him running just seven days later. He's also proven on good to firm ground and Callum Hutchinson takes off a useful 3lb, so if Fivethousandtoone can put his best foot forward here, he should be capable of being in the mix.

Best odds: 2-1 (William Hill).

You could argue Native Warrior was a shade unlucky not to win the Britannia Stakes last time out where he finished a never-nearer third.

He was travelling nicely two furlongs from home but had to wait for a gap, and stayed on strongly once in the clear inside the final furlong.

By then, though, the far side group, who were clearly favoured by the pace, had gained a sizeable advantage, and the first two home were not for catching, with Native Warrior winning his race on the stands' side and he also clocked the fastest sectional in the final furlong. 

Had he been drawn on the far side, or the middle, then I think he would have gone very close to winning there, and a 3lb rise since looks more than fair.

This 0-95 contest represents a drop in grade for the selection and stall one is a positive, while good to firm ground will be in his favour, too.

With just five starts under his belt, he should have lots more to offer, and the form of his efforts prior to his handicap debut last time out, as well as his Royal Ascot exertions, suggest he's going to be much better than a mark of 93.