Top tipster Dave Nevison has four bets across two meetings on Friday, with selections at York and on Day Two of the July Festival at Newmarket. Watch every race live on Racing TV!
2.10 York: Northern Express
Allowing for extra places being available on big field handicaps these days you have to go back to 2022 to find a York race that Northern Express would not have given you a return if backing him each way, and I strongly suspect that sequence will be extended in this 0-95 event.
Michael Dods’ evergreen gelding is definitely off the peak of his ability and probably won’t be winning a heritage event again, but this 0-95 level at his favourite track is certainly not beyond him. He returned from a four-month break recently and performed well, and if he comes on just slightly for that run he should go close at least.
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3.00 Newmarket: Wine Dark Sea
Wine Dark Sea was backed from an opening 9/4 to odds-on at Carlisle last time out and won in effortless style like a 1/20 shot. Harry Charlton’s rapidly improving and currently extremely well-handicapped gelding cannot be opposed upped to this heritage handicap and looks a good thing.
A 6-lb penalty for a 13-length stroll is neither here nor there, and if he arrives at the July Course in similar shape then the only thing that could stop him is the extended trip.
However, given the way he races with a long raking stride, the extra distance might well suit him even more. He is in the Ebor and could become a real contender after this.
4.45 Newmarket: Never Just A Dream
This sprint handicap is contested by exposed handicappers who win in their turn at best, and some have very modest recent strike rates. For that reason I feel it is a race that may be ripe for a big-priced result and Never Just A Dream at 50/1 might possibly supply it.
This horse that has been very highly tried in his career, overfaced in Group One and Two company seems to be the sort that trainer TJ Kent excels with, and he definitely showed enough on his stable debut last time to suggest a win is not impossible in the near future.
He has been dropped a couple of pounds for that good fifth at Newbury and dropped to five furlongs (which I am going to accept the trainer’s judgement as to whether it will suit).
Tom Marquand has been booked, which looks very interesting, and I am happy to throw a few bob at him at massive odds.
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5.40 York: Green Sky
Rod Millman has engaged Toby Moore for this mare who bolted up last time and the young jockey’s 7lb claim more than offsets the 5-lb penalty Green Sky has to shoulder.
She lost her form before moving to Millman’s but if the last time out win was not just a flash in the pan then she could well remain ahead of the handicapper for a little while yet. She was rated in the mid 80’s at one point when trained in Ireland.