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Dave Nevison's top tips for Tuesday: Paris ready to resume progress at Catterick

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 4 Aug 2020

We start the week in much calmer waters than last week’s Qatar Goodwood Festival and I have turned my attentions to Catterick’s nine-race card on Tuesday in an attempt to get my punting week off to a flying start.

The action gets underway at 1.45pm, live on Racing TV, and my first fancy runs in the 2.45pm. Best of luck.

2.45 Catterick: Road To Paris at a general 3-1

Road To Paris is 8lb higher than his last victory, but if ever there was a trainer who knows when his horse is well handicapped and running out of its grade, it is probably Sir Mark Prescott.

He is rated 76 in this 0-75 handicap and is definitely the one runner in this field that has the most potential, in my opinion.

I am not at all worried that he returns from a ten-month absence here as the yard generally only gets going half way through the year. Road To Paris is likely to be favourite, but ought to carry on from where he left off last season.

3.15 Catterick: Excessable at 8-1 with Bet365

This horse takes a big drop in grade here having never competed in anything close to a 0-60 handicap in his career.

He was supported last time at York for the first time this season and ran well behind the well-handicapped Roundhay Park.

He raced on the unflavourable part of the track on that occasion and only gave best 100 yards out. I got the impression he will certainly manage 6f nowadays - having raced over five furlongs for the majority of his career - especially at an easy track like Catterick.

He should be able to sit just off the leaders here and hopefully Duran Fentiman can produce him to get his head in front close home.

5.50 Catterick: Swaffham Bulbeck at 16-1 with Paddy Power and Betfair

Has been very disappointing on the flat for Conor Dore and his mark has tumbled in line with those below-par efforts, but there were clear positive signs last time he ran over hurdles and it could be that Brian Ellison might be inheriting a horse on the way back to form.

He didn’t run badly in a 0-120 handicap over hurdles in July and won a reasonable claimer over obstacles in March, so if he has been perked up by the move, his rating of 50 might well be a gift here.

The horses that finished around him on his recent on his recent start at Uttoxeter were much stronger than today’s opposition and if he attracts market support, I think he could be a good thing here.

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