Dave Nevison's top horse racing tips for Saturday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Sat 15 Jan 2022

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There’s a really terrific Saturday afternoon’s action in store on Racing TV and, as ever, I’ll be trying to get an each-way Yankee up in some excellent handicaps.

2.40 Kempton: Green Book at 8-1 with bet365 (five places) or take 13-2 with Sky Bet (seven places)

A recent injection of prize money has brought this Kempton feature back up the rankings and it is certainly once again a race worthy of the great horse it remembers.

I would love to come up with a big-priced winner but I really cannot see a reason for not sticking with Green Book, who has been typically well placed by Venetia Williams.

I am obviously seduced by the booking of young Ned Fox, who has done me a couple of favours already with his 10lb claim, including on this horse at Haydock two starts ago. He showed a calmness and coolness beyond expectations in that race, when his main rival kicked on a mile out.

Fox let his rival go and then breezed past again in the straight and won easily. Green Book got more experience at short odds just before Christmas but this battle hardened, useful Flat handicapper should be well suited by the demands of this race, especially as there looks to be a couple likely to set the pace for him.

The 10lb claim does not last long and this will probably be the richest event Fox rides in with it, but I am sure he will handle the pressure and go very close.

Fox and Green Book click at Haydock


3.00 Warwick: No Rematch at 12-1 with Sky Bet (five places)

There are a few interesting young stayers against some familiar names in this year’s Classic Chase but the handicapper certainly seems to have factored in the anticipated improvement in the David Pipe-trained Gericault Roque, putting him up 6lb for another defeat last time.

I am going with an Evan Williams stayer against a fancied Pipe runner. The P in No Rematch’s form figures masks what was undoubtedly an encouraging performance on his Chepstow reappearance where he travelled really well until he was finished four out.

Pulling him up there will hopefully mean he is stronger for this second run of this season. He certainly has scope to be a decent staying chaser after just two runs over fences.

3.15 Kempton: A Toi Phil at a general 8-1

This handicap has a strange make up with most of the runners seemingly not in the best of form and several of them going over the wrong trip, either being marathon runners waiting for other days or looking as though 3m is too far for them in the case of fancied pair Smarty Wild and Caribean Boy.

A Toi Phil is a 12-year-old who has not made too many appearances recently, and not covered himself with glory when he has appeared.

However, it did not look as though all was completely lost at Cheltenham on his reappearance and he is 11lb better off with Smarty Wild on a run over an inadequate 2 ½ miles here in 2020.

Gary Moore would not persevere with a horse of his age if he didn’t think there were possibilities. He’s tumbled in the weights and is now running over an ideal trip, so he may justify the patience of connections.

3.50 Kempton: Grisbi De Berce at 7-1 with William Hill

Alan King has not had too many winners recently but has had plenty of seconds, so I am not worried about the stable form.

This horse ran really well on his reappearance at Taunton to be beaten just 5 ½ lengths in a competitive race, just fading as lack of race fitness told close home.

He has been surprisingly dropped 2lb and that gives him a real chance, especially now he is dropped back down in trip. A strong pace seems certain here, which will suit Grisbi De Berce perfectly and, now he has learnt to settle much better, hopefully he can be produced to beat these.

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