It's the second day of the Randox Grand National Festival at Aintree and Dave Nevison has three tips, all of which you can follow live on Racing TV.Test your Randox Grand National knowledge by taking out ultimate Grand National quiz! There's four Racing TV Goody Bags up for grabs - good luck!
This horse has run very well in two of the biggest handicaps of the season, the Betfair Hurdle and then the County Hurdle at the Festival, finishing third and fifth respectively. The handicapper has raised him slightly for those two excellent efforts but that imposition looks likely to be offset by the step up in trip of half of a mile.
He was notably staying on strongly, passing horses all the way up the hill at Cheltenham, and this step up in trip is long overdue in my opinion and could bring about significant improvement. He is by Kayf Tara and his dam won a Point-to-Point and is related to three-and-a-half-mile winners, so to my mind it seems surprising that he has proved as good as he is over the minimum trip.
To win a handicap such as this, a horse needs to be extremely well in or have something up his sleeve that will improve him but looking down the long list of runners it is hard to identify too many who have potential to improve a great deal from their present marks. Edwardstone is certainly one of those and the ground looks no problem.
Another one on the Aintree card who looks as if he might benefit for a step up to the longest distance he has tried in this country. Alhough he has top weight here, it has not proved impossible to defy a big burden in this race in the past.
Ibleo has done absolutely nothing wrong over fences, improving with just about every run, all of which have come with the excellent Charlie Deutsch on board. I feel the long run-in here, indeed the long pull over the last half-mile, could work decisively in his favour and I expect the jockey to be focussing on staying out of trouble in the early part of the race.
Provided he does so then the last two smaller fences and home straight will hopefully see Ibleo gaining hand over fist on his rivals. The horse has been a credit to his trainer all season and he and his jockey deserve another big one.
It looks like one of the lightly-raced novices might win this race with two contenders from that category coming here after success at Taunton last time. I prefer Copperless over Camprond, but both are obviously potential blots.
Copperless, who is very well related to several other 'Coppers' who have raced in these colours has already won a handicap which contained a few likely types and the fact he was backed to beat a promising Nicholls-trainer runner and ended doing so in style suggests he has a real future.
He was value for much more than the length margin that day and a 6lb rise will surely prove to be lenient. His trainer Olly Murphy is in a rich vein of form at present and has engaged Lewis Stones here, who is able to claim 7lb here despite racing against other conditional riders.
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