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Dave Nevison's Thursday night tips: Broughton Excels set to strike again

By Dave Nevison
Thu 3 Oct 2019

I managed to get a few quid out of the Chelmsford City action on Saturday and am again covering the action from the track on Racing TV on Thursday evening, so hopefully we can get a winner on what looks a tough card after what has been a good few days.

7.00 Chelmsford: Kilbaha Lady at 25-1 with Paddy Power and Betfair

The form of this year’s Leger Legends race at Doncaster is working out well but given that the ratings of those taking part were so tightly-grouped, it's perhaps no surprise that the race is proving useful. Kilbaha Lady was staying on one-paced over the straight mile that day and I expect her to be suited by ten furlongs around this track.

She certainly ran well enough over this trip at Newcastle recently and represents a stable having a very good year. Rowan Scott is riding particularly well as he approaches the end of his claim.

8.00 Chelmsford: Real Estate at a general 7-1

I have three in this race in my tracker, all of them having endured a troubled passage last time out. They are Gottardo, along with Desert Fox and Real Estate, who came from the same race last time out. Of the trio, I have opted for Real Estate as the selection as I think the other pair may not be ideally drawn in stalls one and two, and that they could once again find themselves stuck behind a wall of horses.

Real Estate, from stall five, might just have more options in the straight. His run last time was his first for a couple of months and he was a big price so he is entitled to come on for that, and is only 1lb higher than when a course and distance winner last year.

8.30 Chelmsford: Broughton Excels at 7-4 with Bet365 and Sky Bet

There are not that many 0-50 grade handicaps out there and in this grade, I fancy the Stuart Williams runner should win his second in a week even though the penalty he is forced to carry for scoring here seven days ago effectively takes his rating up to 55.

He is certainly the 'class' angle here - indeed he is unbeaten when dropping down into this basement level.

Watch Broughton Excels mow his rivals down over track and trip last week

Even though there a number of three-year-olds with less mileage on the clock in this race, only one looks to have been hiding anywhere and most seem just modest to say the least.

There is a possibility that Broughton Excels might be a shade fragile, as he has not had too many runs, but it appears he simply has to turn up in the same form as last week to win this. If anything his task should have been made even easier with the inside draw.

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