It's final day of York's Ebor meeting and the card throws together some really interesting races and - I hope - a couple of really strong bets.
1.50 York: Lord Glitters
Broke through the ranks a couple of seasons ago and struck at the very highest level when taking the Queen Anne at Royal Ascot last year. Since then he has performed consistently well, largely in the top grade, but not added to that victory and now aged seven might just be finding those sort of races beyond him.
He again ran well in a Group Two contest over 10 furlongs last time, but will definitely suited by this drop back to an extended mile and back down to a Group Three - the first time he has been down to this level since he won this very race two years ago.
Ground just on the easy size is perfect for him and a good pace will always help - in a field this size that should surely be expected. Danny Tudhope has been on board for all his wins in this country.
Lord Glitters wins this race from Mustashry in 2018
2.25 York: Favorite Moon
Managed to clock a very good time-figure last time at Haydock despite the heavy ground. He has obviously been raised in the weights for that effort but the horse he beat has gone on to win a Listed race and finish placed in a Group 3 so the handicapper could easily have adjusted him further upwards in my view.
That win came over this trip so there are no stamina issues and it very much looks as though William Haggas has kept him back with this prestigious event in mind. The top 3lb-claimer Cieren Fallon - whose allowance will be gone next week - keeps the ride.
3.00 York: One Master
Haggas is picking his races extremely well with this mare and having found myself trying to work out reasons why she would not win her last start, concluded only the potential for chaos at Goodwood might stop her in her run. It briefly looked as though that might happen as well but even though she only got up to win a short head I was never too anxious.
'Never too anxious'. Really, Dave? One Master gets through to win at Goodwood
It is a similar story in this race. While not confined to fillies and mares and maybe a little tougher as a result, she is a Group One performer in form and though there are others who might shake her up were they at their best, they are simply not in top form and might have lost their edge altogether. One Master is ideally suited by seven furlongs with a bit of ease and rates a solid bet.
3.40 York: Glencadam Glory
It was back in early 2018 at 1/5 in a very modest event at Wolverhampton that this gelding last managed to win a race. But in the meantime he has moved from John Gosden to Tim Easterby and I just wonder if he was bought by the partnership that owns him with a tilt at this race in mind.
The handicapper has been reluctant to drop him too much, which has turned out to be handy as it has meant that he has just got in at the bottom of the weights here. He has shaped much better than his form figures on his latest starts and I would be very surprised if he does not step up on his recent efforts.
Good enough to secure a midfield finish in the 2017 Derby, he was only a length behind Crystal Ocean when beaten less than three lengths in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot on his following start. Water has flown under the bridge since, but I believe he could well be seriously well handicapped off 99 and is capable of springing a major surprise in a race that has seen a number of big-priced shocks in recent years.
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