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Horse racing tips for Tuesday: Bootlegger can produce goods

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 4 May 2021

Dave Nevison hopes Tristan Davidson has a good afternoon as our website tipster nominates three fancies for Racing TV's first British jumps fixture of the new campaign. Enjoy action from Ayr, Gowran and Ballinrobe live on the channel from 1.15pm.

There is little respite in the jumping game and a new season is upon us already. Well done to Ayr for getting some very strong field sizes for this afternoon card.

1.45 Ayr: Keep The River

This mare has had five weeks off since making a disappointing debut for her current yard, and I am hopeful that the time will have been utilised to identify any issues. Tristan Davidson is particularly adept at getting horses from other yards back on track and he has quicky established himself as a trainer to note on the back of market support.

Keep The River won her only hurdle race so far over this course and distance and on similar ground to this, while she subsequently ran some good races off marks above 110. She has gradually dropped down the handicap to her current rating of 87, and was clearly thought to be in good enough form to win last time.

In truth, that was only a disappointing effort given she was so well-backed into favouritism, looking as if she might have blown up before staying on again to finish third. She has a lot in her favour here and will be difficult to keep out of the frame at least - even on that last run.

2.20 Ayr: Bootlegger

Bootlegger should benefit from stepping back up to three miles, and I feel he will get a race run to suit him with two confirmed front-runners here. He can make it a good afternoon for Tristan Davidson.

He ran well over this trip on his debut for the yard in March, and then won well over two-and-a-half miles on his penultimate start. He made an early mistake last time but was patiently brought back into the race and stayed on to be third. He definitely gets this trip, races as though it suits him best and looks the improver in this field.

4.05 Ayr: Mannochmore

He seemed to enjoy the switch to a left-handed track last time when getting off the mark over fences at the third time of asking. Off bottom-weight, he can step further forward here.

He is not the only young and improving chaser in what looks a good race for this low grade, but he looks to be at the start of a steep upward curve. In contrast, the likes of Roxboro Road have already been raised significantly and may have peaked.

Mannochmore is considerably better off with Roxboro Road from their Muselburgh running two starts ago - beaten 13 lengths in receipt of 6lb, he gets 23lb from that rival this time. My selection has improved since then and looks to have more to come.

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