2023 Breeders' Cup tips: Best bets for Friday from our experts

2023 Breeders' Cup tips: Best bets for Friday from our experts

By Harry Allwood
Last Updated: Tue 5 Dec 2023
Joey Laver, Jack Nicol and Harry Allwood share their best bets for day one of the 2023 Breeders' Cup on Friday. Enjoy all the action live on Racing TV plus make sure you watch the Flat Out Breeders' Cup preview (below) for more top tips!

No Nay Mets

Race: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (9.00pm).
Tipster: Joey Laver.
Best odds: 11-2.
If you look at his Royal Ascot run, you might be wondering why he is so short in the betting here, but I can always forgive a below-par performance at that meeting on the straight track, and he's faced with a completely different scenario here (fast ground and a tight track).
He's got a lot of gate speed, and has a low draw. He's also by No Nay Never, and I think he's got stronger and stronger throughout the year.
I really like him - he looks compact, he's really speedy, and he's exactly what you want for this race.
I think if he hits that bend in a prominent position, from his low draw, then I think he will be quite hard to knock out of the places. At 11-2, I'd definitely rather back him than Big Evs in a race like this.

Buchu

Race: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (10.20pm).
Tipster: Harry Allwood.
Best odds: 9-1.
This youngster took a big step forward in a maiden at Churchill Downs two starts ago where, despite suffering traffic problems briefly, she stormed clear to record an impressive success, and was noticeably strong at the finish.
Although that wasn't the strongest contest, it was hard not to be impressed with the manner of her victory, and she backed that performance up with another stylish win in the Jessamine Stakes, a “Win and You're In” contest for the Breeders' Cup.
She had an outside draw there, so was held up off the pace, but made a sweeping move turning for home and came from last to first to win with plenty of spare.
Her performance can definitely be upgraded as she challenged widest of all, and Philip Bauer's charge impressed on the clock, too.
She's drawn in stall three here, and I wouldn't be surprised if she raced handier (like she did when successful at Churchill Downs), especially as there isn't always a strong pace in turf races at this track.
The top three in the betting are all drawn wider, and I'm hoping Buchu breaks well to get a decent position early before showcasing her decent turn of foot. This daughter of Justify looks to hold good each-way claims at the general 9-1 on offer.

River Tiber

Race: Prevagen Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (11.40pm).
Tipster: Jack Nicol.
Best odds: 5-2.
The whole angle here is that we knew he was a top-class horse when he won the Coventry, and I remember Aidan O'Brien saying after that victory that this was Ballydoyle's Guineas horse for next year. He even mentioned it back in March.
Since then, though, there's been the emergence of City Of Troy and Henry Longfellow, and Aidan likes to keep his assets apart plus make different plans.
I think it's fair to say that those two stablemates are better than River Tiber, but the selection has had the pace to keep racing over six furlongs, and has therefore ended up contesting races like the Prix Morny, and the Middle Park.
Vandeek is probably a monster, and River Tiber ran well behind him last time out, but now he gets his chance to step up to a mile, I think there's only going to be improvement to come.
Aidan has also said he wasn't that happy with River Tiber ahead of his past two starts (he suffered a small setback ahead of the Prix Morny) and it's a good sign that Ryan Moore has chosen the selection over Unquestionable.
Stall two is a big positive as that's a great position, and he's got the pace to get an early position, and I think he's going to be really hard to beat.
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