19:30 Newton Abbot
St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) (Class 3) (Turf)
5YO+ 3m 1f 170y Winner: £7,922 (15 runners)
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AGE
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RTG
ODDS
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1/1
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8/1
7/1
Best Odds are in bold. Best Book 107%
Non-Runners 0/4
Shortening
Drifting
Tips
Stats
Race Hints
TF
Timeform
verdict
1st
Viroflay
7/4
2nd
Certainly Red
4/1
3rd
Hoe Joly Smoke
6/4
VIROFLAY and veteran Certainly Red should find themselves quickly at the head of affairs and could dominate, with Viroflay narrowly preferred back in calmer waters having found the Topham all too much last time.
Tipsters
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Source: newspaper tipsters
selections
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TF
Smart Stats
1
Viroflay
31% Paul Nicholls's strike rate at NEWTON ABBOT since the start of the 2022/23 season
7/4
4
Lord Baddesley
23% Sam Twiston-Davies's strike rate at NEWTON ABBOT
8/1
1
Viroflay
22% Paul Nicholls's strike rate with chasers running between 19f and up to 3m
7/4
TF
Race Hints
Specific Pace Hint: In a race that lacks confirmed pace-forcers, Viroflay could get the run of things.
Individual Price Hint: Hoe Joly Smoke traded at 10% or less of Betfair SP, 25% or less of Betfair SP and 50% or less of Betfair SP twice on 4 of its last 5 starts: Lord Baddesley has traded at 50% or less of Betfair SP twice on its last 5 starts.
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