The recent history of this race shows three winning favourites and a second favourite from the past five renewals, despite good-sized fields, and it has a similar look that a well-fancied contender will score again this year.
Niall Houlihan only claims 3lb here, as it is a race for conditional jockeys, but it will be valuable given Zhiguli’s welter burden.
The five-year-old definitely looks to be on the improve this season and has got better with each of his runs plus was well on top when notching a win at Huntingdon last time out.
The vast majority of his rivals here are thoroughly exposed and very moderate, and it is difficult to see them stopping the top-weight, though Chinwag was a winner last time out.
However, that horse was beaten off a mark of 94 at this track in March and looks to have a tough task under a penalty.
ludlow
15:05 Ludlow - Wednesday December 16
Watch how Broken Quest scored on his return
I am sticking with this horse after he landed us a good touch before Christmas, despite some having concerns about a possible bounce.
Tom Symonds has had more than one horse run up a sequence this season, and this one can follow that path.
He was undoubtedly well handicapped after losing his form for David Dennis, but a change of scenery and a wind op has done the trick, and he was travelling well throughout the race last time out.
He has been raised 8lb, which is enough given a literal interpretation of a three and a half-length victory, but Symonds has negated the raise by booking Kevin Brogan who claims 7lb.
He completed a hat-trick in less than three weeks for his previous trainer and I will be very surprised if he is not robust enough to follow up here.
Cool Destination carries top weight on what is likely to be testing conditions, but is the most promising horse in this field and looks very much like he will be suited by these marathon chases.
The course certainly suits his running style of racing prominently, as he demonstrated last time when beating Terrierman easier than the winning margin suggests.
A reverse of 3lb will not be enough for his one-paced rival to get his revenge, though it is not impossible they could provide the forecast once more.