Tuesday tips: Liam Firkin's 16-1 and 11-1 selections at Perth

I’m going to start with the final race at Perth with the Gordon Elliot-trained Coffeys Forge interesting in this staying handicap hurdle at double-figure odds. 

He was a good winner of a 2m3f chase at Downpatrick in May with Tankardstown Diva chasing him home. The runner-up has franked the form by subsequently going one better at Market Rasen. 

Coffeys Forge is rated 105 over fences but can race off a mark of 93 over the smaller obstacles on Tuesday with his performances over hurdles at Clonmel this month (fifth of 14) and Navan last February (second of 12) suggesting he can exploit the lower mark. 

In addition, Elliott is the second most winning trainer at Perth over the past five years, only bettered by Olly Murphy, and has a 30 per cent strike rate here over the past five years. In summary, Coffeys Forge is potentially well handicapped, race fit, and there has been a bit of market support for him. He’s my first bet of the day. 

Of the opposition, the in-form Stiletto attempts to secure a hat-trick of wins and has the services of Sean Bowen. 

Sophie Leech, the trainer of Stiletto, has sent 12 runners to this track over the past five years and ten have won or made the frame. On the minus side, Stiletto has gone up 13lb for his recent victories and is up in class. 

I am a forgiving sort when it comes to horses, not least because it can lead to them being bigger prices than they should be down the road. 

That modus operandi has led me to a selection who had some good form during his novice season in the shape of Wolfburg, who is chalked up at 16-1 having initially been bigger. I would advise seeking out best odds guaranteed where possible as it’s plausible that he will drift back out. 

Wolfburg finished placed behind Mister Meggit (now rated 136 over hurdles) in his bumper season and if he can rediscover the form of his win at Catterick, in February of last year, then he must have decent prospects 

The horses who finished second, fourth, fifth and sixth in that contest – beaten up to 30 lengths - are now rated 117, 100, 100 and 114. Yet Wolfburg runs here off a rating of 99. 

There is a question mark as to whether he can replicate that form, as he has been pulled up on two of his past three starts, which have come after long lay-offs. But I am getting the price to find out. 

He arrives here after another six-month break but Sandy Thomson, his trainer, has won with his only runner in the past fortnight and I’m hoping the summer has revived his six-year-old. He’s well worth taking the chance on at a big each-way price. 

Nobody has trained more winners at Perth than Olly Murphy in the past five year (44 from 154 winners) and, naturally, his runners do not go unnoticed by odds compilers, especially when Sean Bowen (78 winners from 249 rides at the track in the past five years) is aboard. They make for a potent combination and can strike again here with Scorpio Rising. 

In fact, had you blindly backed Bowen at Perth since the reset of the jockeys’ championship then to a £1 stake you would be in profit by £9.08. Granted, it’s not going to make you a millionaire, but it does provide a sense of his success rate at this venue. 

Scorpio Rising has already attracted support, being cut from 3-1 to 2-1, but I was taken by rewatching footage of his  previous runs in preparation for this meeting. 

He finished third on her most recent start at Ffos Las under Kevin Brogan, being tapped for toe when turning in for home and was last of the six who pulled away to contest the business end of that race. He was extremely game in defeat, rallying to hunt down her rivals on the run in and showed a great attitude to eventually take bronze. 

The champion jockey takes over this time and I’m hoping that he employs positive tactics and turn this into a true test of stamina. If he does that, then Scorpio Rising should be able to draw the sting from the finish of his rivals.