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The Data Detective: clues and tips for Saturday
By Andy Stephens
Last Updated: Fri 12 Jun 2026
Andy Stephens (The Data Detective) marks your card for the action at York.
Saturday June 13: Raceiq Clues and Tips
✅ 2.25 YORK: BOBBY BENNU
Win strike-rate: 21.43%. Highest Speed: 41.59mph.
Final 2f at Chester: 24.44sec (best)
Bobby Bennu is now 3lb below his last winning mark and was an eye-catching fourth on his return at Chester last month from a poor draw.
He completed the final two furlongs in 24.4 seconds, which was quicker than anything else and propelled him from tenth into the frame. The Roger Varian-trained grey is also entitled to be sharper for the run and has each-way claims.
✅ 3.00 YORK: EPIC POET
Highest Speed: 40.92mph. FSP at Sandown: 110.42%.
Yorkshire Cup: 2nd strongest finisher
Epic Poet is not easy to win with but was again not seen to best advantage in a tactical race at Sandown last time.
RaceiQ has 16 of his races in its database and he’s had the best or second-best Finishing Speed Percentage on 11 occasions, hinting he has often had more in his locker.
Ryan Moore rides him for the first time and can get the timing right.
✅ 3.35 YORK: THUNDER CALL
We are always told William Haggas likes to have winners at York. Which trainer doesn't?
More pertinet, for punters, is whether his runners at the track are profitable to follow.
RaceiQ’s Actual versus Expected (A/E) metric measures all his horses, winners and their odds. An A/E score higher than 1 means runners are outperforming expectations. Anything below 1 means the opposite.
Haggas’s overall A/E is a healthy 1.11 but at York it soars to 1.78. He’s had 15 winners from 48 runners there in the past year at a strike-rate of 31.25%.
His next best tracks, where he’s had 25 runners or more in the past 12 months, are Newbury (1.45), Newmarket (1.33) and Goodwood (1.31). But the data tells us to be wary about backing his runners at places like Sandown (0.49), Windsor (0.7) or Yarmouth (0.77).
He does like having winners at York! And Thunder Call looks capable of giving him another in the £120,000 Churchill Tyres Supporting Macmillan Sprint Handicap.
Thunder Call is unexposed, having had only three starts, and makes his handicap bow off a rating of 85 after a runaway win in a maiden at Kempton last month. That form is not easy to read, although the third has won twice since and is now rated 82.
There is no grey area regarding how Thunder Call zoomed through the final two furlongs in 22.88sec, which was at least a whole second quicker than anything else in the field.
That warrants a sectional upgrade and hints he could be destined for much bigger things, as befits a horse whose half-brother, Skardu, made the frame in the English and Irish editions of the 2000 Guineas in 2019.
His draw in stall 4 is a bonus as the RaceiQ data indicates that gives him an instant 0.84 length advantage. Those drawn 17 or higher have a 0.43 length disadvantage or worse
✅ 4.50 YORK: FRANKIES DREAM
Highest speed: 42.7mph. York form: 51
FSP: best in majority of races
Frankies Dream is only 1lb higher than when winning at York last year and can repeat the dose.
He was the only horse to dip under 13 seconds when a staying-on third at Beverley last time and moving up in trip should suit as he’s had the highest Finishing Speed Percentage in 12 of his past 20 races.
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