Saturday horse racing tips: Dave Nevison's best bets for Newbury

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 5 Mar 2021

Our website tipster believes one horse has been found the ideal opening among a quartet of Saturday fancies from Newbury. Enjoy the seven-race card live on Racing TV.

12.40 Newbury: Not A Role Model

He has won his last two assignments and looks to have been found the perfect race here - he is only having his fifth run over hurdles at the age of nine, which puts him at the lower end of the experience range for this ‘seniors’ contest for eight-year-olds and above.

It is very likely that he can improve from his mark, while most of the others are likely on the downgrade. His successes have come under a claimer so it is certainly no hardship having Kevin Brogan on board, while it seems most likely he will adopt the front-running tactics of recent wins.

Sam Thomas is certainly progressing as a trainer and has his string in very good form at present.

1.15 Newbury: Shantou Village

This is Millie Wonnacott’s final ride claiming 7lbs - she has been in magical form recently and was on board this horse for one of his few decent efforts of late.

That was back in August when he did a little too much and didn’t quite get home over hurdles. He was beaten less than four lengths over fences next time but has disappointed twice since.

This race is a 0-150 but, being a veterans event, he does not run into the likes of Royal Pagaille and Cap Du Nord again like he did last time. With the claim of the supremely confident Wonnacott into account, I am hoping Shantou Village might just be reinvigorated enough to win what looks a modest event for the grade.

1.50 Newbury: Senior Citizen

I believe could be seriously underestimated.

Heavy ground over the National fences proved too much for him last time, though he still jumped and ran well to a point. He has been rested since, which seems sensible, and runs off the same mark here.

His previous effort at Huntingdon could well be upgraded as he carried a double penalty and was only beaten two and a half lengths by the very useful Espoir De Romay. He won his chase on good ground back in September from a useful Paul Nicholls novice, and he will be better suited by this surface.

3.30 Newbury: Proschema

I believe he is poised to prove himself a very decent handicapper over hurdles judged by his recent efforts.

He’s shown his wellbeing with two wins in ‘Jumpers Bumpers’ at Newcastle, an all-weather track where he runs particularly well, but heavy ground stopped him at Cheltenham on his latest jumps run. Prior to that he won and was placed at Wetherby, where his rider might have been over-confident on his latest handicap defeat.

He never quite lived up to his billing on the Flat but this impressive looker may be only now physically filling his frame. A big galloping track like Newbury looks ideal.

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