Our website tipster Dave Nevison reflects on the vagaries of the great game and is back with three more fancies for Thursday’s action. Enjoy three meetings from Huntingdon, Tipperary and Chelmsford live on Racing TV.
Putting up two horses that were extremely well-backed - only to then watch one unseat at the first and the other to fall at the second-last when looking sure to win - reminds me that I will try my best to avoid the summer jumping as much as possible in the coming weeks.
Hopefully nothing gets in the way of these three below.
A fast-starter drawn in stall 1 is the perfect combination for victory in a Chester sprint handicap and Jabbarockie fits the bill perfectly. It is difficult to see past him.
The likelihood of him getting the lead is increased even further by the only horse that habitually misses the break – Mondammej - being drawn next to him in stall 2.
He was at his best on his first two runs last season and has returned in extremely good form judged by his impressive win in typical front-running style in a competitive event at Musselburgh. He is just 3lb higher now and has an awful lot in his favour here. My only worry is that he gets backed into a very short price.
He needs to confirm his massive all-weather improvement back on turf, but he was just touched off recently from a mark of 92 and there is no doubt he has the potential to be thrown in here off 78.
His running style isn’t typical Chester, but there are several front runners in this field and a fast-run race could allow him to travel well and challenge off the bend.
Trainer Ian Wiliams has a very good record at one of his local tracks and I believe he will have had this race in mind. He has a fresh horse that has certainly looked an improved model this winter.
She has been expensive for me to follow for her new trainer, but I have seen valid excuses on each of her runs. Given she is forecast at 20-1 in the early lists, I am happy to go in again for a place at least.
The seven-furlong trip seems a plus to me, as she was run off her feet last time over five furlongs as well as being hampered and forced wide. Over this trip, I expect her to be ridden for a late challenge and there is plenty of pace which will suit.
Silent Witness could have been drawn a little lower ideally, but two have been withdrawn so she is a little tighter to the rail. The yard’s horses are still running well and almost landed quite a gamble with Rectory Road at Salisbury over Guineas weekend.
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