Five key horses to follow on Racing TV on Saturday

By Harry Allwood
Last Updated: Sat 10 Aug 2024
Andy Stephens, Ross Millar, Katie Midwinter, Tom Thurgood and Harry Allwood share a horse each to keep a close eye on across the Curragh, and Haydock on Saturday, live on Racing TV.
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3.25 Curragh: Kind Of Blue

Tipster: Andy Stephens.
Best odds: 4-1.
The evidence is mounting that Britain’s best sprinters are three-year-olds and this speedily bred colt – he’s by Blue Point out of a dam who was a sister of Deacon Blues and The Tin Man – can add weight to that argument by taking this Group Three prize.
Unraced as a juvenile, he is making up for lost time this campaign. After successive novice wins at Kempton and Doncaster, he was a fine fourth in the much deeper waters of the Commonwealth Cup before finishing a length third in the Hackwood Stakes at Newbury last time.
The pair who beat him that day were also three-year-olds – Elite Status and Lake Forest – while the other six in the field, including a rock-solid yardstick in Regional, were all older horses.
Fanshawe squeezed more and more out of Deacon Blues (won this in 2011) and The Tin Man through their careers, and it could be we are just scratching the surface with Kind Of Blue, who is surely open to more improvement after only four runs.
I’m also a fan of Electric Storm, but she has looked well served by some dig underfoot. It could be that Moss Tucker, who made all in last year’s renewal, is the biggest threat.

3.40 Newmarket: Liberalised

Tipster: Tom Thurgood.
Best odds: 14-1.
Lake Victoria will likely head the market as the first Aidan O'Brien runner to contest this race and she looked to have plenty of boot on debut and rates as a potential big improver fopr a team with a vaunted squad of juvenile fillies this term. She could feasibly kick these out of the way, but she's yet to run on this track and will travel away for the first time in her career and the instinct is not to take too short odds about her all things considered. Indeed, pricing up this race to a 100 per cent book I struggled to make her shorter than 7-4.
Mountain Breeze started earlier and has been allowed to build up a more iubstantive body of work so far, but her experience and know-how in higher-level races - as well as July Course experience - could be potentially decisive. I would like to be with her at 9/4 but that looks more unlikely than not.
The one who looks overpriced to my mind is Liberalised. Well regarded and representing last year's winning connections, she's not a Fallen Angel but shaped better than the result suggested in the Duchess Of Cambridge despite market weakness and this looks more of her set-up. Down in grade, it's feasible that the latest run could have been a sighter to this assignment and she's unlikely to be as far back last time or face such stern early speed. She's been put in at 14/1 the early reformed market and I wouldn't want to lay any bigger than 15/2.

4.00 Curragh: Greek Flower

Tipster: Harry Allwood.
Best odds: 3-1.
**Now a non-runner**
This mare was a two starts ago where she flew home to finish second behind Amazon Lady who received an inspired ride from Billy Lee, and was a shade unlucky not to score.
That was off a rating of 84, and she ran another fine race to finish second in a similarly hot handicap at this track last time out off a pound higher. She was luckless on her seasonal debut when filling the same spot.
Although John Feane's charge finds herself on a rating of 88 now, her three efforts this season suggest it's only a matter of time before she strikes, and regular-rider Jamie Powell takes off a useful 3lb again.
The selection is clearly in top form at present and this lower grade should enable her to gain a deserved success. The ground conditions should be fine for her, too, and she's run some of her best races at this track.

4.45 Haydock: Caernarfon

Tipster: Katie Midwinter.
Best odds: 7-1.
Likable filly Caernarfon returned to form on her penultimate start at Pontefract, winning a Listed contest when suited by the drop back to a mile. 
She had landed a Listed Newmarket contest over the trip as a juvenile, and finished fourth in the 1000 Guineas before stepping up to a mile-and-a-half when third in the Oaks. 
Her form tailed off following her placed effort at Epsom, but the shorter distance sparked a revival at Pontefract and her three-length third to Royal Dress in a Group Three last time was satisfactory. 
She is a tough filly, capable of holding her own at a higher grade. 

4.35 Curragh: Whistlejacket  

Tipster: Ross Millar.
Best odds: 4-5.
I expect Whistlejacket to follow in the hoofprints of his brother, Little Big Bear, who won this Group One prize in 2022. I fancy he will land this with the minimum of fuss. 
He was perhaps a shade disappointing when only fourth in the Norfolk Stakes when sent off favourite, but I’d suggest that given his time again Ryan Moore would have ridden him more aggressively. I’d also suggest the good to firm ground was against him. 
Whistlejacket looked to have benefitted from the experience when running out a cosy winner of the July Stakes when returned to this trip at Newmarket last time, making all the running and winning comfortably despite shifting left late on. 
Arizona Blazefinished in front of Whistlejacket at Royal Ascot but was well beaten over this course and distance on his next start in the Gain Railway Stakes. I’d be surprised if he was good enough to confirm the Norfolk form over this trip. 
The biggest danger may be the Ger Lyons-trained Babouche. 
She’s looked smart in winning both her starts, firstly over this trip at Cork and then lately when landing the Group Three Anglessy Stakes over half a furlong further at this track. 
Babouche  stayed on well in the closing stages and if there were to be an overly strong pace she might well come home best. She will need to step forward again, and, regardless of the pace senario, I find it hard to envisage her bettering Whistlejacket.  
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