Dave Nevison's top tips for Tuesday: Mix can take advantage of drop in grade
By Dave Nevison
Last Updated: Tue 5 Dec 2023
Dave Nevison has four each-way fancies for the racing action at Catterick on Tuesday, one of four meetings that will be shown live on Racing TV.
Dave Nevison
Finished: 11thSP: 20/1
Dave Nevison
Finished: 6thSP: 10/1
My Racing TV Tracker is a very good starting point for identifying selections but is a relatively new way for me to find winners and takes some managing.
At what point do you admit your eyes had deceived you and that your horse to note is actually a money thief and should be dropped from the list? Getting this right is the key.
I am at that point with Billy No Mates who got into a right mess at Thirsk on Saturday and blew an each-way Lucky 15 for yours truly.
However, I have decided to keep him in until the Ayr Gold Cup meeting as he was backed off the boards there 12 months ago and connections tend to target that meeting.
Both of my selections in this race are on my list. Millie the Minx is a decent winning hurdler who looks sure to win a low grade handicap on the flat.
She came from too far back last time over course and distance but is in good form and is still well handicapped.
Mr Sundowner ran too free a week ago, possibly because the tongue strap was reapplied for the first time for a while.
He would have got closer to the odds-on winner, Gylo, but both selections are meeting that improver on 10lb easier terms here.
All this mare has to do to win this race is last for half a furlong longer than she has been doing for a while but this looks her best chance to do just that.
She is down in the weights and has won in higher grade races than this before. She is a course and distance winner, ridden by a jockey who has won on her and excels on front-running sprinters plus is drawn in stall 1, while the other likely front runner is in 14.
Her trainer, Eric Alston, is also in good form, so there are plenty of positives.
Dave Nevison
Finished: 8thSP: 14/1
French Mix is the class drop angle in this race and can take advantage of a drop in grade. She is rated 77 but is allowed to run in a 0-75 contest and that could be key to a return to winning form.
This horse runs pretty much exclusively in amateur events and is always ridden by Hannah Welch, and the combo scored twice last winter.
This is the first time French Mix has run over this trip since his last victory and she ran better than her finishing position suggests at Goodwood last time.
Welch probably made her move too early in that race and French Mix's effort petered out with more than a furlong to go. He is sure to be more competitive if challenging later here.
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