Dave Nevison's top tips for Musselburgh on Tuesday: Pogue ready to strike again

I have little doubt this horse is destined for bigger things, and the handicapper has him 1lb over the official ceiling of this handicap already, but it should serve as a confidence boost and looks a good piece of placing by his trainer.

Pogue doesn’t have much experience over fences, but his rivals don’t have any and he has performed very well on both starts over the larger obstacles so far.

He won with more in hand than the winning margin suggested last time and should follow up here.

Paul Nicholls has a 40 per cent strike-rate at Musselburgh and produces a massive level-stakes profit with the horses he runs at the Scottish venue.

Surprisingly, they do not all go off at cramped odds, and he has had a couple of winners which drifted markedly and still won at the trials meeting here a few weeks ago.

Quite why this one was dropped 2lb after finished third on his handicap debut is a mystery to me as the winner of that race was running well on his next start in the Betfair Hurdle before falling.

I will be very surprised if this one cannot augment his trainer’s ridiculously impressive strike-rate at the track, but given the colours, maybe it is still worth watching the market beforehand.

There is absolutely no doubt that Duke Of Navan is seriously well handicapped nowadays, but he is now a 12-year-old and has not won as many races as his ability suggests he should, therefore I think he makes this a race in which to play.

His rivals are not the most robust or consistent, but my selection likes this track and won here twice over this distance last season.

The handicapper raised him, but he is back to just 1lb above his last victory and may well come on from his return after a short break last time.