Dave Nevison: my free horse racing tips for Saturday

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Fri 23 Sep 2022

Betting expert Dave Nevison is sweet on a 40-1 chance in the Cambridgeshire and has three other fancies. Watch how all Dave's fancies fare on Racing TV, or on a dedicated Racing TV Extra channels.

2.05 Haydock: Auditor at a general 7-1

Looks to be on a steep upward curve this autumn and provided he acts on the easier ground then I am pretty sure he will go close here.

Auditor won twice on the July course at Newmarket in the summer despite not getting the best of runs in either race. He improved even further last time when running the in-form Atrium (winner again since) to 1¼ lengths at Newbury on his latest start.

He definitely got the mile trip last time and should be able to race comfortably going around a bend for the first time at this trip. I still believe there is more to come from this three-year-old.

2.40 Haydock: Count D’Orsay at 15-2 with bet365

It has been a while since this sprinter won a race but he signalled that his turn was coming round again last time with a really good effort to be third in the Portland at Doncaster.

He lost a shoe in that race and it seems fair to think he might have done even better but for that. He runs Haydock really well and has been placed at Listed level here in the past plus is 3lb below his latest winning mark.

Trainer Tim Easterby scooped a couple of big-field handicaps at the Ayr Gold Cup meeting and has his string in very good form after a brief quiet spell.

All ground conditions come alike to Count D’Orsay and his past three wins have come in September/October so this might be his time of year. David Allan has been on board for his last four wins.

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3.40 Newmarket: Ouzo at a general 40-1

Doesn’t always get the rub of the green or help himself on occasions but Ouzo has what it takes to land one of these big handicaps.

I am hoping that Saffie Osborne can settle him here in this cavalry charge and feel he is drawn favourably among the high numbers.

He rarely goes further than a mile but has been placed when staying-on in a Royal Hunt Cup in the past and Ascot is a considerably stiffer track than Newmarket.

Ouzo has run good races on his past two starts at Goodwood and York in similar high profile events to this, and has been dropped 2lb for those efforts.

It would not be the biggest surprise if William Haggas had the 1-2 in this race in his quest to win the trainers’ title but his runners are going off very short in these handicaps and with bookmakers paying up to eight places I am happy to side with an outsider this time.

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5.25 Newmarket: Zainalarab at 9-2 with William Hill

Let me down when a beaten favourite at Doncaster last time but I am happy to give this colt another chance.

He was too far out of his ground to pick up in a race where the leaders didn’t stop last time. He is still learning his game and as long as he doesn’t lose too much at the start I believe he can show himself a well-handicapped horse.

He has a good turn of foot and may end up being better than a handicapper. The Roger Varian stable is in terrific form and hopefully it can be another good Saturday for him.

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