Angus McNae: My top tips for Carlisle on Sunday

Angus McNae: My top tips for Carlisle on Sunday

By Angus McNae
Last Updated: Tue 5 Dec 2023
Our presenter Angus McNae fired in three winners from four selections in last week's column and gives you four fancies for Sunday's action from Carlisle. Enjoy every moment live on Racing TV.
12.30 Carlisle: Rollerruler
He is a confident selection.
Rollerruler showed much improved form last-time out on stable debut for Stuart Coltherd to win at Hexham. His new trainer decided to try new tactics and, ridden aggressively from the front, Rollerruler could be called the winner a long way from home. He has gone up 5lb to a mark of 94, and he looks capable of defying that rise for a trainer who tends to improve horses inherited from other yards.
Rolerruler looks to be the sole pace in the race and it is possible he will get an easy lead out in front. Derek Fox is riding with confidence at the moment and takes over in the saddle and I expect him to make all the running.
1.05 Carlisle: Gold Cup Bailly
Gold Cup Bailly will go off favourite but should win comfortably.
He came up against the very useful Ahoy Senor when last seen in March and was only beaten four lengths off level weights. Given what that horse has done since, Gold Cup Bailly should be more than capable of taking a race like this.
He pulled 15 lengths clear of the third on that last start and is clearly a nice type. On his previous start at Punchestown he was third to the useful Pont Aval in a fast time.
This is not a particularly strong race, with Best Triton the only danger in what is effectively a match race.
1.40 Carlisle: Papa Tango Charly
He can take another step towards justifying his lofty price tag.
Papa Tango Charly could have been described as a costly failure up until his facile win here six weeks ago. He was bought for £440,000 and looked modest over hurdles, but in a chase for the first time and in handicap company he thrashed his opponents without coming off the bridle.
That was an impressive start to life over fences and even, with a 10lb hike in the weights, he looks to have an excellent chance of following up. It is a bonus that he has been given a six week lay–off, which should negate the chance of him bouncing here.
This is clearly a tougher task than he faced last time, but it seems that chasing is his game and trainer Jonjo O Neill has his horses in good form.
2.10 Carlisle: Bass Rock
I would be surprised if he doesn't go very close here.
I made a note of Bass Rock after his latest run at Haydock, where he was third to the useful Dans le Vent. He did best of those ridden prominently in a race that was run at a furious gallop, while prior to that effort he ran well when winning by five lengths at this track. Bass Rock is likely to be ridden prominently again and should take some pegging back over this course, which suits his running style.
In the last five years, his trainer Sandy Thomson boasts a 17 percent strike rate at Carlisle and is currently in good form which enhances confidence. He is put in as a 4/1 shot and that seems very fair.
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