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Andy Stephens' top horse racing tips for Monday

By Andy Stephens@StevoGG
Mon 11 Oct 2021

The final Flat season of the year at Musselburgh forms part of the Racing TV coverage on Monday.

It’s an eight-race card with 82 runners with the British EBF Flying Scotsman Conditions Stakes (3.00) and Racing TV Bass Rock Handicap (4.10) sharing top billing.

I’ve got selection in both those races plus have tips for races at Yarmouth and Kempton Park almost six hours apart.

Oisin Murphy will be in action at Kempton, beginning the day six winners ahead of William Buick in the jockeys' championship with six days remaining.

However, it's far from over with Buick's eight rides at Wolverhampton including five chalked up at 2-1 or shorter. Murphy has an inferior book, at least on paper. And on Tuesday, Buick has eight more rides, whereas Murphy has half that.

2.05 Yarmouth: Jawhary at 5-1 with bet365 and William Hill

Jawhary should be sharper for his encouraging run behind the well-backed Bascule over 1m4f at Lingfield last time as he was returning from a four-month break. He didn’t help himself with a sluggish start that day but first-time cheekpieces should help him keep his focus.

This more galloping track should also suit Jawhary better and the Lingfield form got a boost when the well-beaten Athers scored at Chelmsford on Saturday night.

Jawhary has had only two previous runs on turf and has more in his locker. He had the misfortune to bump into Miltary Mission at Salisbury on the first occasion before gaining an improbable success over 1m2f at Goodwood, when he traded at 999-1 in-running only to finish with a flourish.

The regally bred Sayf Al Dawla heads the market after his win at Salisbury last time but he didn’t look straightforward and the form is ordinary. Reina Del Mar is feared more but her 79-day absence is a niggle.

3.00 Musselburgh: Makanah at 7-2 with bet365

Makanah can repeat his success of last year

Roulston Scar’s two wins last month were achieved in three-runner races and, despite being favoured by the weights, he looks a skinny price at about 6-4 back on a slower surface. It is disconcerting that he has been well-beaten the past three times he has raced on going featuring the word “soft” in the description.

Makanah is fully effective on easy ground and is fancied to repeat his success of 12 months ago. He is unlucky not to be 3/3 at this track – his only defeat here being when denied a clear run inside the final furlong and being beaten a short head by Mokaatil over course and distance in August.

Makanah was not at his best in Group Three company at Newbury last time but this is easier and he is the type to quickly bounce back.

4.10 Musselburgh: Zip at 10-1 with bet365

Richard Fahey’s gey gelding does not know how to run a bad race and returned from three months off with a typically solid effort at Ayr last time when beaten just over a length in a competitive affair.

This is a decent race of its kind, too, but Zip has his optimum conditions and he won’t need to improve much on that performance at Ayr – if at all – to get his head back in front.

He runs off the same mark and Billy Garritty, who got a good tune out of him last time, keeps the ride.

8.00 Kempton: Donya at a general 12-1

Backing horses rated in the mid 50s after 99 days off the track carries a high-risk tariff but Donya, formerly trained by Mohamed Moubarak, is interesting at double-figure digits on her first start for Ian Williams.

She offered little on her first three starts at big prices in novice/maiden company at up to 1m2f, but the market spoke in her favour when she made her handicap bow over 1m4f at Lingfield in June. However, the combination of trip and heavy ground seemed against her.

Donya’s latest start over a mile at Chelmsford, when beaten a nose by Solomons Judgment, was much more like it, especially as little went right for her. She was hampered early on and got shuffled back to the rear and then, at the end of the race, had to switch very wide to challenge.

Solomons Judgment has since won twice more and is now rated 11lb higher. Donya has been nudged up 3lb but I’ve no doubt she can win off her present rating and the drop back to 7f is not a concern.

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