Watch Irish Racing on RacingTV 'National Hunt' Maiden Hurdle (Class 4) (Turf)

8 May 2021

Soft (Heavy in Places)
4yo+ 2M Winner: £3,159 (12 runners)
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Horse
Jockey Trainer
Form/Equip
Wgt/Age
OR
5
4
3
2
1
Comment: Flat-bred gelding who got it right at third attempt in bumpers at Ludlow (14f, heavy) on debut for this yard in December, despite hanging badly left under pressure. Should have a future over hurdles.
7/4
2/1
13/8
15/8
7/4
7/4
7/4
7/4
13/8
7/4
6/4
7/4
7/4
2/1
15/8
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11
1-
z
10-12
4
-
37/13
D
Comment: Saint Des Saints gelding. Dam (c135/h143) French hurdler/chaser (2¼m-2¾m winner). Tongue tied and made a winning debut in a Kelso bumper in March. Bred to excel over jumps.
5/2
2/1
9/4
9/4
5/2
2/1
2/1
15/8
15/8
2/1
17/8
9/4
9/4
37/13
2/1
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6
2/5P24-
11-4
7
-
49/10
BF
Comment: Showed ability only start in bumpers and easily best effort over hurdles when second in 2m Sandown novice on penultimate outing. Latest effort was very disappointing, but worth another chance.
15/4
9/2
9/2
9/2
15/4
9/2
9/2
9/2
9/2
9/2
9/2
4/1
4/1
49/10
9/2
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Comment: Second in 4-y-o event at Fontainebleau (2 lengths behind Kerbochet) on hurdling debut in October 2019. Left A. Boisbrunet €75,000 following month and though off since he should still improve.
12/1
10/1
11/1
11/1
12/1
11/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
11/1
11/1
10/1
11/1
14/1
10/1
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D
Comment: Bumper winner on debut in Ireland. Looks a work-in-progress for this yard so far, failing to see his races out. Subsequent breathing operation may help him.
14/1
16/1
12/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
16/1
12/1
14/1
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BF
Comment: Well backed but too free when fifth of 10 in bumper at Hereford (16.2f, soft) in November. Represents top yard ahead of hurdles debut.
16/1
16/1
14/1
18/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
12/1
16/1
20/1
14/1
16/1
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BF
Comment: Has an appealing pedigree and shaped with encouragement when sixth in a bumper at Chepstow that worked out well. Off 4 months after and disappointing at Doncaster. Now goes hurdling with a hood on.
20/1
16/1
18/1
16/1
20/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
18/1
18/1
23/1
16/1
16/1
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Comment: Looked green in bumpers and must up his game markedly to get involved now hurdling.
22/1
25/1
25/1
25/1
22/1
25/1
25/1
25/1
22/1
25/1
22/1
22/1
25/1
54/1
22/1
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Comment: €105,000 Fame And Glory gelding. Yet t show a great deal, brought down at the first at Uttoxeter last week. In top hands and will do better at some point.
35/1
50/1
50/1
66/1
35/1
50/1
66/1
50/1
66/1
50/1
50/1
40/1
28/1
59/1
50/1
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Comment: Fell sole start in points and looks a long-term project under Rules.
66/1
100/1
80/1
80/1
66/1
80/1
80/1
80/1
80/1
80/1
66/1
66/1
99/1
40/1
80/1
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Comment: Sea Moon gelding. Dam point winner. Offered little in a course bumper a fortnight ago.
40/1
66/1
66/1
66/1
40/1
66/1
66/1
66/1
66/1
66/1
50/1
50/1
109/1
40/1
66/1
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Comment: Battle of Marengo gelding. Dam 25f chase winner, half-sister to fairly useful hurdler/useful chaser (stays 21f) Not Another Muddle. Tongue tied and dropped away in a course bumper recently.
35/1
66/1
50/1
50/1
35/1
50/1
50/1
50/1
50/1
50/1
50/1
40/1
50/1
119/1
50/1
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N/A

VERDICT
1st
11
Sayadam (FR)
37/13
2nd
6
Mister Watson
49/10
3rd
2
Kepy Blanc (FR)
14/1
SAYADAM showed a really willing attitude when justifying favouritism in a Kelso bumper in March and, given his pedigree, he ought to excel over hurdles. With that in mind, he's preferred in favour of Mister Watson and Kepy Blanc.
SMART STATS
£25.00
3 King Ferdinand
Tom Lacey's profit to a £1 level stake with hurdlers running in first time headgear
23/1
21%
0 Quiet Flow
Dan Skelton's strike rate at WARWICK since the start of the 2016/17 season
25%
4 Le Bateau
Nicky Henderson's strike rate at WARWICK since the start of the 2016/17 season
2/1
RACE HINTS
Pace Forecast
Even
Specific Place Hint: A decent pace still shouldn’t detract from the chances of those who race on or near the front end such as Mister Watson: War Call might not benefit from being ridden as far back as usual for all the gallop is likely to be a reasonable one.
Individual Price Hint: All Shook Up traded at 25% or less of BSP and 50% or less of BSP twice on 3 of its last 5 starts: Miltiades has traded at 50% or less of BSP twice on its last 2 starts.
Flags
Horses for courses (positive)
Horses for courses (negative)
Warning horse
Trainer first time headgear
Trainer in form
Trainer out of form
Trainer/Jockey Uplift
Trainer returning from a break
Trainer handicap debutant
Horse in focus
Sectional timing
Sire course strike rate
Sire distance strike rate
Sire going strike rate
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