Support the Arc Racing Club Handicap Chase (Class 5) (Turf)

4 Aug 2020

Good (Good to Firm in places)
4yo+ 1M 7F 182Y 0-100 Winner: £2,924 (13 runners)
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No
Silk
Horse
Jockey Trainer
Form/Equip
Wgt/Age
OR
5
4
3
2
1
1
045806-12
+
11-12
8
100
11/4
BF
Comment: Back to form when making a winning chase debut at Bangor and backed it up with a creditable second at Market Rasen, so another bold showing is expected.
11/4
11/4
11/4
11/4
11/4
11/4
11/4
11/4
11/4
5/2
11/4
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Comment: Maiden who might have rectified that had he jumped the last better on his return at Bangor. Still going well when unseating at Market Rasen 8 days ago, so he's a definite player.
4/1
10/3
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
7/2
4/1
SP
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Comment: Winning pointer who showed only modest form over hurdles and was a touch disappointing on handicap chase debut at Bangor last time. Too soon to write off, though.
5/1
6/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
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CD
Comment: More miss than hit since landing a gamble at Southwell last season but he's well capable from this mark and could bounce back now freshened up. Not dismissed.
5/1
6/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
5/1
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CD
Comment: On a long losing run and wasn't really threatening to get his head back in front last season, so not that appealing on reappearance.
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
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4
4327/253-5
z
11-2
11
90
12/1
Comment: Rather hit-and-miss since latest success at Kelso in October 2017 and doesn't make much appeal despite a sliding mark and mildly encouraging reappearance at Perth a fortnight ago.
11/1
12/1
12/1
12/1
11/1
11/1
11/1
11/1
11/1
11/1
11/1
SP
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2
2FP6/FP38-
11-4
9
92
14/1
BF
Comment: Completion rate over hurdles/fences leaves something to be desired, seemingly amiss at Musselburgh 7 months ago, so returns with a fair amount to prove.
11/1
14/1
11/1
12/1
11/1
12/1
12/1
12/1
12/1
12/1
11/1
SP
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D
Comment: Down the weights and stopped the slide with a comeback run under his belt when fourth at Market Rasen 8 days ago. He'd need to step up on that to make a serious impact, however.
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
SP
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9
5431667-4
z
10-4
11
78
16/1
D
Comment: Scored over fences last August and acquitted himself returning to this sphere after 8 months off when fourth from out of the weights at Uttoxeter last time. Could build on that.
14/1
14/1
16/1
16/1
14/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
14/1
16/1
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D
Comment: On a lenient mark and entitled to come on for his seventh at Perth on reappearance, so he's one to consider despite an iffy profile.
14/1
16/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
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10
522706-3R
10-4
10
78
20/1
Comment: Ungenuine sort who refused to race at Market Rasen 8 days ago. As such, he's very hard to fancy.
18/1
20/1
18/1
18/1
18/1
18/1
18/1
18/1
18/1
18/1
16/1
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Comment: Fair maiden on the Flat when in the care of John Gosden, but has shown precious little over obstacles to this point. Out of the weights again.
20/1
25/1
25/1
25/1
20/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
25/1
SP
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Comment: Placed once from 4 starts in Irish points but has offered little for new connections, pulled up at Chepstow when last seen 7 months ago.
28/1
33/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
28/1
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N/A

VERDICT
1st
7
Secret Melody
4/1
2nd
1
Tim Rocco (GER)
11/4
3rd
5
Court Jurado (IRE)
6/1
SECRET MELODY had the race at his mercy when blundering at the last at Bangor on reappearance and was still going comfortably when unseating at Market Rasen, so it's worth chancing him to complete a clear round and gain some compensation. Tim Rocco has made a positive start to chasing and deserves respect along with ex-pointer Court Jurado, who could improve from his initial chase outing.
SMART STATS
36%
1 Tim Rocco
Sean Quinlan's strike rate on chase favourites
11/4
21%
13 Fanfaronade
Charlie Longsdon's strike rate in summer
25/1
RACE HINTS
Pace Forecast
Even
Specific Place Hint: Secret Melody might not get things all its own way near the head of affairs but shouldn’t be held back by that alone: The leaders will have to go harder than the predicted pace forecast if the hold-up horses such as Thomas Blossom are going to come into things.
Individual Price Hint: Secret Melody traded at 10% or less of BSP and 50% or less of BSP on 2 of its last 5 starts: Court Jurado traded at 10% or less of BSP and 50% or less of BSP twice on 3 of its last 3 starts.
Flags
Horses for courses (positive)
Horses for courses (negative)
Warning horse
Trainer first time headgear
Trainer in form
Trainer out of form
Trainer/Jockey Uplift
Trainer returning from a break
Trainer handicap debutant
Horse in focus
Sectional timing
Sire course strike rate
Sire distance strike rate
Sire going strike rate
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