Happy Birthday Rhian Handicap Hurdle

22 Jan 2017

Soft (Heavy in places)
4yo+ 2M 3F 147Y 0-135 Winner: £5,594 (9 runners)
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Comment: Won 2m Huntingdon maiden hurdle last season. Should have come on for last month's run here over, making mistakes (behind The Gipper) and remains with potential in handicaps.
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Comment: Improved to win twice at up to 19f in the mud last winter. Mark shot up after and didn't do enough at Market Rasen in November to seriously consider him.
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Comment: Not scored since taking a hurdle at Limerick for Charles Byrnes in April 2014 and has shown nothing in 3 runs for this handler spread out over 13 months.
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Comment: Fairly useful hurdler, won twice at Pau in 2015/16: placed in handicaps last 2 starts this season at Enghien and Auteuil. Left A. Chaille-Chaille £160,000 in December, stays 19f, acts on heavy going.
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Comment: Fairly useful in bumpers and showed similar form over hurdles to win first 2 starts. Disappointing he hasn't built on that since. First preference 14.00 Fontwell.
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Comment: Seemingly helped by a first-time tongue tie when landing a punt at Kempton a year ago. Well held both starts since (latest in April) and has to conclusively prove stamina over this far.
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Comment: Won back-to-back novice hurdles early in 2016 and right back on his game when finding only one too good in a 2m here last month (well backed). Step back up in trip will help.
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Comment: Easily best effort in his 3 qualifying runs when runner-up in a C&D novice 18 days ago. Opening mark has suffered as a result, though.
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Comment: Showed benefit of hurdling debut experience when winning at Ffos Las in June. Got back on track at Uttoxeter in November, though didn't do enough to suggest he's well treated.
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VERDICT
1st
2
Max Do Brazil (FR)
2nd
1
The Gipper (IRE)
3rd
8
Centurius
French-import MAX DU BRAZIL fetched £160,000 last month and new connections will expect him to very competitive in a race of this nature. The Gipper returned to form here last month and should be well served by this step back up in trip, while Centurius is also a player if lining up.
RACE HINTS
Pace Forecast
Contested
Specific Place Hint: There could be competition for the lead, as a result The Gipper may be better served by being ridden further back: Max Do Brazil could be suited by being ridden further back than some, in a race that looks likely to be run at a strong pace.
Individual Price Hint: Town Parks traded at 10% or less of BSP and 25% or less of BSP twice on 3 of its last 3 starts: Lord Adare traded at 25% or less of BSP twice on its last 5 starts.
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