Central Roofing Maiden Hurdle

22 Jan 2017

Soft (Heavy in places)
4yo+ 2M 3F 147Y Winner: £2,599 (17 runners)
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Jockey Trainer
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Comment: Runner-up in a point back in 2015, but might be more of a long-term project given the way he shaped on hurdling debut, not having a hard time when down the field at Chepstow.
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Comment: Fairly useful on Flat for Alan Swinbank, but hasn't come anywhere close to replicating that form as a hurdler, so easy to pass over.
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Comment: Won his sole start in Irish points and showed plenty when second in a Carlisle bumper in November. Bit disappointing subsequently, including over hurdles, but much too soon to write off.
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Comment: Presenting gelding. Dam (h82), maiden hurdler (stayed 2½m), half-sister to useful hurdler/fairly useful chaser (stayed 2¼m) Raise Your Heart. Winning pointer. Engaged 2.55 Taunton Saturday.
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Comment: Ran to a fair level in points and showed aptitude when third over C&D on hurdling debut. Looks vulnerable to anything above-average, however.
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Comment: Thrice-raced maiden over hurdles. 66/1, first run since leaving Gary Moore when last of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (15.8f, AW) 13 days ago, met some trouble. Switches from Flat to hurdles.
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Comment: Hard to fancy given he has achieved very little in bumpers.
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Comment: Placed between the flags and showed ability when mid-field in a Wetherby bumper. Unlikely to be up to winning a maiden hurdle, however.
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Comment: No sign of ability in 3 starts under Rules so far.
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Comment: Didn't come up to expectations (4/1) in a bumper at Uttoxeter 6 months ago, but could prove a different proposition over timber for his in-form yard.
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Comment: Brother to fair hurdler/fairly useful chaser Ivresse du Berlais. Well beaten on completed start over hurdles.
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Comment: Yet to show any sign of ability.
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Comment: Has shown nothing in bumpers.
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Comment: Ran some solid races over hurdles through the summer, but looks vulnerable
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Comment: Runner-up in a point in April, and shaped encouragingly in what could prove to be an above-average bumper (winner bolted up over hurdles next time), so of definite interest switched to hurdling.
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Comment: Is a winning pointer, but stable not known for first-time-out winners, so might not come good until a bit later on.
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Comment: Kayf Tara gelding. Dam (b70) lightly raced in bumpers. Worth a market check in a weak maiden hurdle for top yard.
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N/A

VERDICT
1st
13
Rock My Style (IRE)
2nd
4
Dara's Present (IRE)
3rd
3
Corner Creek (IRE)
ROCK MY STYLE was arguably on the worst of the ground when making an encouraging Rules debut behind De Dollar Man in a Uttoxeter bumper and, given he's got experience between the flags, he should have no problem with the switch to timber. He's taken to get the better of a couple of fellow ex-pointers in Dara's Present and Corner Creek, who is surely better than he's shown to date.
SMART STATS
33%
3 Corner Creek
Michael Scudamore's strike rate in the last 14 days
41%
13 Rock My Style
Aidan Coleman's strike rate on hurdling favourites since the start of the 2011/12 season
RACE HINTS
Pace Forecast
Contested
Specific Place Hint: A contested lead could prove to be a negative for the prospects of Corner Creek: Matts Legacy could be suited by being ridden further back than some, in a race that looks likely to be run at a strong pace.
Individual Price Hint: Ninepointsixthree traded at 10% or less of BSP twice and 25% or less of BSP on 3 of its last 5 starts: Diamond Fort traded at 25% or less of BSP and 50% or less of BSP on 2 of its last 3 starts.
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Trainer first time headgear
Trainer in form
Trainer out of form
Trainer/Jockey Uplift
Trainer returning from a break
Trainer handicap debutant
Horse in focus
Sectional timing
Sire course strike rate
Sire distance strike rate
Sire going strike rate
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