Comment: Progressed into a useful colt at 2 yrs, winning maiden at Sandown and class 2 event at Newbury. Good third in Sandown Classic Trial on return, clear of rest. Headgear applied and could get easy lead.
Comment: Placed in Group 2s at the Curragh/Newmarket as a 2-y-o and ran well over a trip that's probably on the short side for him in handicap at Newmarket on return. Step up in trip will suit and big player.
Comment: Won on 7f Doncaster debut last autumn. Took a step forward when 1½ lengths third in listed Spring Cup on Lingfield return before close third in class 2 at Kempton. Remains with potential up in trip.
Comment: Off the mark at third attempt in maiden in France in September but set a stiff task on return having re-joined this yard.
Best Odds are Bold
The five tiles correspond to the five possible Early Position Figures (EPFs) that a horse can record in a race:
EPF 1 Leader/Front runner
EPF 2 Prominent/Close up
EPF 3 Mid-division
EPF 4 Towards rear
EPF 5 Behind
The colour scale represents the probability of the horse recording that EPF; deeper blues are higher probability, while white indicates lower probability. The horse indicates the predicted EPF.
Foxes Tales (IRE)
ONTARIO was placed in a couple of Group 2s as a juvenile and shaped well when third under top weight in the European Free Handicap at Newmarket on his return. He looks ready for this step up in trip and can provide Aidan O'Brien with a ninth win in this. Yibir was a good third in a Group 3 at Sandown in his comeback and is likely to get the run of things, so rates the obvious threat.
Aidan O'Brien's number of winners in past 10 runnings.
Charlie Appleby's profit to a £1 level stake with horses running in first time headgear
3 Foxes Tales
Andrew Balding's strike rate at CHESTER since the start of the 2017 season
Specific Place Hint: In a race that lacks confirmed pace-forcers, Yibir could get the run of things: Of the better-fancied horses, Ontario is most likely to be ridden furthest from the pace.
Individual Price Hint: Yibir has traded at more than 2 times BSP twice when winning during its last 5 starts: Ontario traded at 10% or less of BSP and 25% or less of BSP twice on 3 of its last 5 starts.
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