Comment: Twice-raced maiden. 28/1, eleventh of 14 in maiden at Nottingham (5f, good to firm). Off 7 months. Significantly up in trip. First run for yard after leaving George Margarson. Has been gelded.
Comment: Twice-raced maiden. 200/1 and visored for 1st time, seventh of 8 in maiden at this C&D 30 days ago. Difficult to make a case for.
Best Odds are Bold
The five tiles correspond to the five possible Early Position Figures (EPFs) that a horse can record in a race:
EPF 1 Leader/Front runner
EPF 2 Prominent/Close up
EPF 3 Mid-division
EPF 4 Towards rear
EPF 5 Behind
The colour scale represents the probability of the horse recording that EPF; deeper blues are higher probability, while white indicates lower probability. The horse indicates the predicted EPF.
Red Mirage (IRE)
Jebel Dukhan (IRE)
RED MIRAGE won his only start last year and he should be able to start his 3-y-o season perfectly here given he is a likely improver. Jebel Dukhan ran well at Southwell on his previous start and rates as the main danger. Tomouh can't be discounted either in a fairly open looking novice event.
Martin Bosley's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting
5 Credence Star
Simon & Ed Crisford's profit to a £1 level stake when having one runner at a flat meeting
Saeed bin Suroor's strike rate at CHELMSFORD CITY since the start of the 2017 season
Individual Price Hint: Jebel Dukhan traded at 25% or less of BSP twice on its last 2 starts: Karalius has traded at 50% or less of BSP twice on its last 2 starts.
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