13:50 Cheltenham
Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase (Gbb Race) (Class 2) (Turf)
Soft (Good To Soft In Places) 5YO+ 3m 5f 56y Winner: £18,484 (16 runners)
Big Outsider Worth Second Look In Cross-Country
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Best Odds
Fractional
NO./DRAW/FORM HORSE
AGE
WGT.
OR
RTG
ODDS
Odds courtesy of
5
1/5
5
1/5
5
1/5
5
1/5
4
1/4
4
1/4
4
1/4
5
1/5
5
1/5
4
1/4
5
1/5
5
1/5
5
1/5
5
1/5
2/1
2/1
2/1
2/1
187/100
187/100
9/4
2/1
5/2
2/1
5/2
9/4
2/1
5/2
4/1
9/2
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
4/1
7/2
4/1
9/2
4/1
7/2
9/2
7/1
7/1
13/2
7/1
13/2
13/2
7/1
7/1
7/1
15/2
6/1
7/1
7/1
15/2
15/2
15/2
15/2
7/1
7/1
7/1
8/1
15/2
15/2
8/1
13/2
15/2
15/2
8/1
11/1
12/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
10/1
11/1
11/1
10/1
11/1
9/1
10/1
11/1
11/1
16/1
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16/1
16/1
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14/1
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16/1
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16/1
16/1
16/1
14/1
14/1
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14/1
14/1
16/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
14/1
16/1
14/1
12/1
14/1
12/1
14/1
14/1
16/1
16/1
18/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
18/1
14/1
16/1
18/1
14/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
14/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
16/1
18/1
16/1
16/1
14/1
14/1
16/1
14/1
14/1
20/1
25/1
20/1
20/1
20/1
20/1
25/1
18/1
20/1
22/1
16/1
20/1
20/1
20/1
22/1
25/1
22/1
25/1
22/1
22/1
25/1
25/1
22/1
22/1
20/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
25/1
28/1
22/1
20/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
22/1
25/1
18/1
22/1
25/1
22/1
33/1
40/1
33/1
33/1
33/1
33/1
33/1
33/1
33/1
40/1
28/1
28/1
33/1
40/1
40/1
40/1
33/1
25/1
33/1
33/1
40/1
33/1
33/1
40/1
28/1
33/1
40/1
40/1
66/1
66/1
50/1
50/1
50/1
50/1
66/1
50/1
40/1
66/1
40/1
50/1
50/1
33/1
Best Odds are in bold. Best Book 123%
Non-Runners 0/16
Shortening
Drifting
Tips
Stats
Race Hints
TF
Timeform
verdict
1st
J'arrive De L'est
5/2
2nd
Final Orders
15/2
3rd
Placenet
9/2
A 5-time winner in France (twice in Cross Country events) J'ARRIVE DE L'EST shaped encouragingly starting out for his new yard when chasing home re-opposing Final Orders over C&D in December. It's feasible to think he'll come on for that run and with cheekpieces back on he can reverse placings on these more favourable terms. Final Orders was impressive that day though and commands serious respect. David Cottin pair Placenet and Iceo Madrik are also respected.
Tipsters
chart
Source: newspaper tipsters
selections
About The Selections
Dave Nevison
J'arrive De L'est Caught the eye at this track last time out, and I think this seven-year-old is going to be a major force in these events. An error-free round should be good enough.
Andy Stephens
Escaria Ten Reserves his best for this track and the handicapper has given him a big chance. Worth an each-way dabble at 33-1
Ross Millar
Miralago Is 5lb out of the handicap, but plenty in this look handicapped to their best, or won't appreciate the ground. This test could see him in a new light
Alex Scott
Iceo Madrik Ran a cracker last time considering he jumped left on plenty of occasions. This softer ground is sure to suit and his young jockey has plenty of cross-country experience in France. Each-way play
TF
Smart Stats
11
Escaria Ten
2 Martin Keighley's number of winners in past 8 runnings.
28/1
3
Latenightpass
£13.45 Tom Ellis's profit to a £1 level stake with only one runner on the card (chases)
16/1
9
J'arrive De L'est
35% Donagh Meyler's strike rate on chase favourites
5/2
TF
Race Hints
Specific Pace Hint: Iceo Madrik might not get things all its own way near the head of affairs but shouldn’t be held back by that alone: The forecast decent pace still isn’t likely to sway the advantage towards those usually ridden further back such as is Latenightpass.
Individual Price Hint: Tommie Beau traded at 10% or less of Betfair SP and 25% or less of Betfair SP on 2 of its last 5 starts: Escaria Ten traded at 10% or less of Betfair SP, 25% or less of Betfair SP twice and 50% or less of Betfair SP on 4 of its last 5 starts.
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