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Top tips for Tuesday: Betting expert Dave Nevison marks your card

By Dave Nevison@nevisondave
Tue 1 Dec 2020

I have turned my attention to the card at Newcastle on Tuesday and there are three very tricky handicaps to try and find the winner of.

I’ve given it my best shot though, and I’m hoping the three below will help us get the week off to a good start.

3.40 Newcastle: Roundel at 6-1 with William Hill

This selection is a long-standing maiden who has run in surprisingly few handicaps in amongst being placed a few times in maidens.

He can only be described as a disappointment, but I believe he might have arrived in a race on a mark that he can win off here.

David O’Meara has long specialised in getting wins out of horses he buys from other yards and must have been confident of doing so again after Roundel finished second on his debut for the yard in October.

Two runs at Southwell might have been an error and last time he did run below his best. However, he is back at the distance he ran arguably his best-ever race over, has Danny Tudhope back in the saddle, and has been dropped 5lb since he ran in his only handicap in this country.

He will be a decent price and represents a winning combination in a race with several others who find it a struggle to win, and some that may be at the top of their handicap range.

4.15 Newcastle: Laxton Ladd at 9-2 with Bet365

Will be looked at closely on his first run in a handicap, but the signs are pretty obvious, given that he has improved with each run so far.

He was highly tried at Ascot and Newmarket, but showed promise on his second start and, switched to the all-weather, looked a real Nursery prospect when coming with a sustained run from the back of the field and finishing with running left in him.

He has been massive prices on all three runs so far, but with headgear for the first time to sharpen him up and Richard Kingscote taking over from Jane Elliott, it seems unlikely he won’t be supported this time.

5.15 Newcastle: Fendale at 7-1 with Bet365

Had no chance from a bad draw on bad ground last time and hasn’t had a lot going for him in general recently.

However, he has won off a mark of 83 over course and distance and was placed in a 0-90 handicap here this week last year, plus is now running in a much lower-grade contest.

It is only three runs ago that he finished third in a very competitive handicap at York, so I believe the handicapper might well have been generous.

Given that his stable have had a winner recently and he is chalked up around 7-1, I think he is worth a chance after a short break.

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