Tony Calvin's top tips for Sunday: Dapper Man looks smart bet at 7-1

By Tony Calvin
Sun 19 May 2019

I wouldn’t profess to being the biggest football fan – in fact, it’s a pretty rank sport, all told – but I tuned in to view my home town of Watford play Manchester City in the FA Cup final yesterday.

And, as is often the case when you watch something that you don’t really want to, I had to have a financial interest.

So I chucked a £100 on 2-2 at 28-1 as a starter, and then traded the Asian Handicaps and match odds markets in-running.

Siding with the “Glory Hornet Boys” ended up costing me the thick end of two grand – no-one told me City were that good – so the next football match on my screen will coincide with me on my death bed.

If I don’t have the energy to switch channels.

That’s a cheery image to start the Sabbath. Hopefully, my four bets at Ripon will recoup some of the football carnage.

I am swerving the jumps action and also the Royal Ascot Trials & Ladies Day at Naas – thanks to “Betfair Barry” for informing me of that, as I have never heard of that description of the meeting before – and concentrating on Ripon.

And, unlike me on the footy nonsense, responsible gambling one and all. I shall be backing the following, so best of luck if you follow me in. I may even chuck them in an each-way multiple.

2.00 Ripon: Cock Robin each-way at a general 10-1

Opposing Archie Watson’s juveniles may not be the wisest course of action these days, but I was surprised to see Cock Robin 10-1 across the board – it’s as if odds-compilers didn’t exist and firms simply cut and pasted – so he is first up as an each-way investment.

The bare form of his Beverley fifth on debut (watch above) might not be anything to write home about but he did well there, switching from his outside stall (he was drawn 10 of 11) to the inner early doors, and staying on pretty well once he got the hang of things late on.

I expect him to come forward appreciably for the run, and 10-1 each-way looks a fair investment to me.

2.35 Ripon: Budaiya Fort each-way at 7-1 with William Hill

He shaped pretty well when fourth at Yarmouth on his first start for his new stable last time.

That is basically the rationale for backing him here, though the yard is in good form – the trainer and jockey teamed up with Friday winner Emily Goldfinch at Newmarket – and hopefully a first-time visor will also help matters.

3.10 Ripon: Timetodock each-way at 5-1 with Skybet and William Hill (four places)

He has his conditions of 6f and good ground – and he also ran well here when a 50-1 chance last August – and he comes here off the back of a fair third at Beverley (watch above) last time.

That was over 5f in a 0-70 handicap, so the step up to 6f in a 0-60 after being dropped 1lb is a big positive.

He simply looks very solid, and 5-1 each-way with Skybet and Hills looks a tempting proposition. I really do struggle to see him coming fifth or worse.

6.00 Ripon: Dapper Man: 7-1 each way, four places, with Skybet, Betfair, Paddy Power and Boylesports

Dapper Man has compelling credentials for an each-way bet, four places.

He won this race last year off a 9lb lower mark and went on to record three more successes, and he makes a lot of appeal after being dropped 3lb to a mark of 72 after his Musselburgh run last time.

That enables him to get into this 0-70 handicap again and he shaped pretty well last time, travelling well for a long way.

This class-drop is a big betting angle for me, and I really like his chances, with a fair claimer taking off a further 3lb.

He recorded his first win of the year on his sixth start last season, and that was also the case in 2017. I hope lightning strikes for a third time.

This is sixth start of 2019, having been dropped 8lb along the way.

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