Tony Calvin's top tips for Monday: Western Duke primed to strike

By Tony Calvin
Mon 10 Dec 2018

We were blessed with a superb weekend of racing, but unfortunately none of the gold dust has been sprinkled onto the Monday cards and it was a struggle to eke out a few bets.

But the early prices have unearthed some fair, if not spectacular, punting opportunities on.

Unfortunately, there will not be any mention of Musselburgh below, as the fields are very much on the small side, with only one race offering three places for each-way backers.

It’s a shame as there is some good prize money on offer, and the winner of the juvenile hurdle will be netting connections over £12k.

Anyway, let’s get on to the three bets.

They are at the lower end of the price scale that I like to play at, but it’s that kind of day. Please do try and bet at Best Odds Guaranteed too, as the prices are subject to massive fluctuation at this time of proceedings.

Good luck.

3.00 Lingfield: Deebaj at a general 7-2

Predictably, not a great deal interested me at Lingfield but the two that did were trained by Gary Moore.

Clayton has a solid chance in the 2.00 (Skybet, Betfair and Paddy Power are going four places here), but Deebaj just interested me more at the prices.

The heavy ground is a bit of a worry but he ran OK on it at Sandown last time, and he handled soft well enough on the Flat.

He shaped quite well to finish fifth over 2m at Sandown, considering he was a 50-1 chance having his first start since May, and the step up to 2m3f110yd promises to suit him.

He has won over 2m6f at Ffos Las and he ran well over staying trips on the all-weather here so, having been dropped 2lb from Sandown, I reckon he is handicapped to win races again.

He is down to a mark of 106, some 9lb lower than when making his debut for the yard over hurdles at Fontwell in April.

6.00 Wolverhampton: Landing Night at 11-2 with bet365

Shamson and Landing Night were my two against the field in this 5f handicap.

Shamson went up 7lb for his course-and-distance win here last time, but he still could be fairly treated. He was obviously rated a lot higher in his pomp, and it was interesting that his usual tongue-tie was discarded for his win here last time – perhaps it was more of a hindrance than a help - and is again.

He rates a big danger but his price more than reflects that, and I like Landing Night more at the odds on offer.

He has run two solid races at Southwell and Newcastle since having a wind op in October, and he could be ready to strike again now.

Rebecca Menzies has her string in good form and Landing Night has run well on all four starts at this course, notably when second over track and trip off a 1lb higher mark than this last November.

There are three or four in here that like to go forward, which should aid his come-from-behind style.

6.30 Wolverhampton: Western Duke at 100-30 with Ladbrokes

Western Duke scores off a mark of 87 at Kempton. He runs off 83 on Monday.

Again, I liked two in here, both of whom are wearing first-time headgear.

Charlie D has been running well and he sports the tongue-tie and cheekpieces combination, but the one that I am backing is Western Duke.

He was rated 91 for Ralph Beckett after winning at Kempton last year and he went on to run well off that mark when third over 1m4f at Ascot, where he stuck on well enough.

He has not reached that level in three starts for Ian Williams, and better was expected of him in the London Middle Distance Series Final at Kempton last time.

But he is down to 83 here and the step up to 1m6f (he has not raced beyond 1m4f before) and first-time cheekpieces make him an interesting proposition.

He is a High Chaparral half-brother to fair 1m6f performer Lynwood Gold, and Williams has a decent record when initially using this piece of headgear.

More Latest News

This video is playing in Picture-In-Picture. Click to Exit.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies.