The Tote's Kevin O'Malley hit the target with 18-1 chance Arcanada on Sunday and has three selections for Monday's action at Thirsk. Watch how they fare live on Racing TV!.
By Kevin O'Malley, www.tote.co.uk
I'm heading to Thirsk on Monday evening for three outsiders of interest. Fingers crossed for a little more luck following Arcanada’s 18-1 win for the column on Sunday.
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5.30 Thirsk: IVA REFLECTION
Foreshore and Barbarella make up a bulk of the market here on the back of respective second-place efforts last time, but neither seem particularly well-handicapped on those runs. If pushed to pick one likely to be well fancied here it would probably be the gelded Rebel Soldier Boy.
David O’Meara’s charge was allotted a fair opening mark of 74 for three useful runs last season, where he produced a couple of decent speed figures in defeat. Jedd O’Keefe’s stable is in good form, so his Only Alone is also worthy of mention.
Most things considered though, there isn’t a lot of strength here and I’ll take a chance on IVA REFLECTION taking advantage of a tumbling handicap mark. The Ivawood gelding never settled at Newcastle first time out, but I suspect he’ll be sharper now in the first time blinkers.
This time last year he was rated 82 and, along with his debut win, a couple of his efforts in defeat last season would give him decent claims here from a mark of 71. He has run over further, but six furlongs is probably worth persisting with for now.
7.00 Thirsk: ROUND THE ISLAND
When a ten-year-old Lucky Lodge - a grand servant though he is - is trading as a well-supported early second favourite for a race, you can be sure it isn’t the strongest of heats.
With that train of thought in mind, I’ll suggest a bet on Richard Whitaker’s ROUND THE ISLAND for this Class Six contest over six furlongs. Another grizzled campaigner, this seven-year-old’s only poor run was his last outing of 2019 back in December. Before that, he ran up to or beyond his present mark of 55 on four out of his past five races.
One of those was a win at Pontefract in September, where he has won five times. This isn’t Pontefract, but at least we know the horse to be capable of winning races, which might be easy to overlook given a quick glance at his recent form numbers.
Round The Island requires a significant resurgence to land a blow here, but his price is likely to reflect the leap of faith.
8.00 Thirsk: KINDLY
This Mick Easterby-trained seven-year-old ran at Thirsk five starts back, going off favourite and running a solid race in fourth behind East Street Revue here last September from a mark of 78. She now runs off a 7lb lower mark.
KINDLY could only manage eighth of 12 on her seasonal reappearance at Haydock, but she didn’t disgrace herself and a reasonable improvement on the outing here would give her decent claims of getting into the frame.
She is on a long losing streak, but again you’d imagine this will be factored into the price and I’m happy to have the Kyllachy mare on side for an outsider play in a competitive but ordinary-enough heat.
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