Saturday RaceiQ tips: Page Fuller's picks based on the data

Ascot’s King George will attract plenty of the headlines today, but I prefer the look of a couple of contests on the supporting card when it comes to finding pointers from the RaceiQ data.

The Group Three Princess Margaret Stakes (1.40) looks an interesting affair and I expect the George Scott-trainedStaya to relish this step up to six furlongs.

She is not short of speed, and the Top Speed of 43.74 mph that she recorded when winning at Yarmouth on debut is faster than any of her rivals have recorded so far. Considering how green she has looked in her two starts since, it is to her credit that she registered such a good time that day. Our Time Index rated it a 9.4 out of 10, which is most impressive on debut.

Her potential Achilles heel seems so far to be her speed from the stalls. She was the 19th fastest from the stalls when only beaten less than a couple of lengths in the Queen Mary at Ascot, and her slow start of 2.67 seconds to 20mph at Sandown last time nearly cost her success.

Less emphasis will be placed on early speed over a stiff six furlongs at Ascot, so her slowness from the stalls should prove less of a hindrance and the way that she hit the line at Sandown over a stiff five furlongs suggests that this step up in trip will suit her perfectly, - she can make better use of her tactical speed, without so much pressure on her in the opening strides to keep up with her rivals.

In the International Handicap (3.00), Sword appears overpriced for an each-way bet, considering the benefit that the data suggests he will receive from being drawn in stall 22.

He was campaigned over a mile and further as a novice when trained by John and Thady Gosden, but David O’Meara clearly took a different view and coming back to seven furlongs has helped his cause this season.

Sword was quite keen in his younger days, so the application of a hood, combined with the step down in trip, means that he is able to channel his energy more effectively.

Despite having scored over a mile and a quarter last year, he recorded the fastest Top Speed both when winning over seven furlongs at Leicester last month and then when flying home to finish third at Haydock only beaten three lengths.

His draw in stall 22 is one that has historically given its occupants the greatest advantage of all. Our Draw Advantage metric reckons that he is going to have a 1.16 length advantage over par. For context, Aalto, who is drawn in stall 3, has been handed a 0.48 length disadvantage from his low draw.